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Related: About this forumWhy did Macron and Sunak go for elections?
There were not scheduled, right?
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Why did Macron and Sunak go for elections? (Original Post)
question everything
Jul 2024
OP
There are many leaders who hang on, hoping for change in wind directions
question everything
Jul 2024
#3
Thank you. Seems that the in the U.K. transfer will be smooth but in France..
question everything
Jul 2024
#5
bucolic_frolic
(46,997 posts)1. Try to stave off losses because they could read the polls? /nt
question everything
(48,811 posts)3. There are many leaders who hang on, hoping for change in wind directions
Who is worse? The right wing Le Pen or antisemite Melenchon?
Mosby
(17,471 posts)2. Macron called for snap elections
Because he didn't like the results of the EU elections. The French far right party gained more seats than in the past. So it was a sort of vote of confidence, which didn't really work out that way.
Ocelot II
(120,867 posts)4. In many parliamentary systems the prime minister can call an election
outside the regularly scheduled one., if they think it will be advantageous.
...why has the PM called an election that is almost certain to lose? For months, polls have placed Sunaks Conservative Party way behind the opposition Labour Party and, as things stand, Labour leader Keir Starmer is set to not only win power but have a massive parliamentary majority.
The answer to that question is simple: its very unlikely there will be a better time. Almost everything Sunak tries seems to backfire, and its not implausible that his favorability with the public will get even worse before the end of the year.
The past couple of days have been relatively good for Sunak. The economy does seem to be recovering, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) updating the UKs growth forecast and inflation finally returning to something resembling a normal level.
Nothing went catastrophically wrong in the last week or so ahead of calling the election. Its a low bar, but since his time in office, right now he probably has the most stable base to launch a campaign that hes ever had or ever will have.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/24/uk/prime-minister-rishi-sunak-election-intl/index.html
The answer to that question is simple: its very unlikely there will be a better time. Almost everything Sunak tries seems to backfire, and its not implausible that his favorability with the public will get even worse before the end of the year.
The past couple of days have been relatively good for Sunak. The economy does seem to be recovering, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) updating the UKs growth forecast and inflation finally returning to something resembling a normal level.
Nothing went catastrophically wrong in the last week or so ahead of calling the election. Its a low bar, but since his time in office, right now he probably has the most stable base to launch a campaign that hes ever had or ever will have.
As for Macron, things were going badly for him as well, and he might have thought it was worth the risk.
For several months, a small group of confidants worked discreetly at the Elysée Palace on a high-risk scenario: the dissolving of the Assemblée Nationale. Among those in the know were former advisers to President Emmanuel Macron aides from his first presidential campaign who later left to work in the private sector, before returning to Macron's side, such as his special adviser Jonathan Guémas. Also involved were Macron's chief of staff Alexis Kohler and Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin.
Fewer than 10 people were "at work" on the idea, confirmed Macron's adviser on historical issues, Bruno Roger-Petit, who was delighted Sunday by this coup de théâtre. The secret was well kept, until Macron's address at 8:58 pm, when he announced on television, in the wake of his coalition's disastrous results in the European elections, his decision to dissolve the Assemblée and call snap elections.
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2024/06/10/why-macron-decided-to-call-snap-elections_6674373_7.html
Fewer than 10 people were "at work" on the idea, confirmed Macron's adviser on historical issues, Bruno Roger-Petit, who was delighted Sunday by this coup de théâtre. The secret was well kept, until Macron's address at 8:58 pm, when he announced on television, in the wake of his coalition's disastrous results in the European elections, his decision to dissolve the Assemblée and call snap elections.
question everything
(48,811 posts)5. Thank you. Seems that the in the U.K. transfer will be smooth but in France..
Traurigkeit
(1,290 posts)6. France will be smooth. No matter what The Media is paid to think
question everything
(48,811 posts)7. Why not wait until after the Olympics?