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Wildcard match-ups are set. Make your picks (Original Post) True Dough Jan 2023 OP
I'm going with True Dough Jan 2023 #1
Agree Hugh_Lebowski Jan 2023 #2
Opening odds, FYI: Auggie Jan 2023 #3
I'll Take A Shot ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #4
Jags have a chance True Dough Jan 2023 #5
Right Where I Was ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #6
So Far, I'm 3-0 ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #8
What would you have said if I had messaged you at halftime yesterday? True Dough Jan 2023 #9
Oh Yeah, For Sure ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #10
What do you consider more impressive True Dough Jan 2023 #11
Lawrence ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #12
Good points True Dough Jan 2023 #13
Why No Blitzes? ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #14
Yes, he's lucky to be enjoying stellar protection True Dough Jan 2023 #15
Well here goes... madinmaryland Jan 2023 #7
You Went 5-1 ProfessorGAC Jan 2023 #16
Fucking Chargers and the 27 point choke! madinmaryland Jan 2023 #17

Auggie

(31,798 posts)
3. Opening odds, FYI:
Mon Jan 9, 2023, 10:31 AM
Jan 2023

My picks are not based on the odds. I like the the teams in BF:

Bills vs. Dolphins
Opening point spread: Bills -9
Opening point total: 46
Opening moneyline: Bills -435, Dolphins +350

Bengals vs. Ravens*
Opening point spread: Bengals -5.5
Opening point total: 44
Opening moneyline: Bengals -225, Ravens +190

Jaguars vs. Chargers
Opening point spread: Chargers -2.5
Opening point total: 46.5
Opening moneyline: Chargers -140, Jaguars +120

Giants vs. Vikings
Opening point spread: Vikings -3
Opening point total: TBD
Opening moneyline: Vikings -150, Vikings +130

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
Opening point spread: Cowboys -3
Opening point total: TBD
Opening moneyline: Cowboys -165, Bucs +140

Seahawks vs. 49ers
Opening point spread: 49ers -9.5
Opening point total: TBD
Opening moneyline: 49ers -460, Seahawks +370

Betting the odds:

If Lamar Jackson starts I take Baltimore to beat the spread. High ankle sprain would likely limit his running but it doesn't make him immobile.

Looks like Tua is out so I'll go with Buffalo to cover. If Tua plays I'll take Miami to beat the spread.

I'll take Seattle to beat the spread but 49ers to win. Shanahan will rest starters with a lead allowing 4th quarter scores by the Seahawks. 9 1/2 is a lot to give.

True Dough

(20,257 posts)
5. Jags have a chance
Mon Jan 9, 2023, 05:36 PM
Jan 2023

to knock off the Chargers. I hesitated on that one. The Chargers have the better talent overall, IMO, but been scuffling for much of the season. Jacksonville was on the upswing in the second half.

ProfessorGAC

(69,879 posts)
6. Right Where I Was
Mon Jan 9, 2023, 05:41 PM
Jan 2023

They finished fast.
I'm iffy on the Vikings but they just keep winning & Jefferson is a problem for any defense.
The rest I'll stand by, and if I'm wrong, then I'm wrong.

ProfessorGAC

(69,879 posts)
8. So Far, I'm 3-0
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 02:07 PM
Jan 2023

And Bills are up 17-0.
I'm typically as good as a coin flip, so at least I can't do worse than that.

True Dough

(20,257 posts)
9. What would you have said if I had messaged you at halftime yesterday?
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 02:09 PM
Jan 2023

Did you count the Jags out at that point? I sure did! What a comeback!

True Dough

(20,257 posts)
11. What do you consider more impressive
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 02:26 PM
Jan 2023

the way Brock Purdy handled the Seahawks, particularly closing things out in the fourth quarter while surrounded by rich talent, or the way Trevor Lawrence struggled mightily in the first half and turned things around so dramatically with rather mediocre talent on the Jacksonville roster?

ProfessorGAC

(69,879 posts)
12. Lawrence
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 04:12 PM
Jan 2023

I didn't watch the whole SF/Sea game and did watch a bunch of the other.
But, the Niners defense is so good, I think a young QB has less stress about making a mistake. The D very well might erase a mistake.
Lawrence doesn't have that luxury. And, his mistakes DID cost his team but he played very good QB and the team believed they still had a chance. That's one of the intangibles we hear about. Guy is in his 2nd year and the team is HIS.
All that said, I think Purdy could be really good. He seems like one of those guys who could stay calm if he was on fire!

True Dough

(20,257 posts)
13. Good points
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 04:28 PM
Jan 2023

I am surprised by the tenacity that we're seeing from the Dolphins today, especially with a third-string QB and against one of the top teams in the league.

ProfessorGAC

(69,879 posts)
14. Why No Blitzes?
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 04:30 PM
Jan 2023

Guy with limited game experience and they're not trying to rattle him.
As I've read, Miami's O line is pretty good. He's got way too much time back there.

True Dough

(20,257 posts)
15. Yes, he's lucky to be enjoying stellar protection
Sun Jan 15, 2023, 04:37 PM
Jan 2023

If he was hurried, he'd surely be making more mistakes.

ProfessorGAC

(69,879 posts)
16. You Went 5-1
Tue Jan 17, 2023, 06:38 PM
Jan 2023

I only got 4 right. The Giants' passing game was better than I thought, and I overestimated the Cowboys' penchant for playing small in big moments.

madinmaryland

(65,154 posts)
17. Fucking Chargers and the 27 point choke!
Tue Jan 17, 2023, 06:50 PM
Jan 2023

Though the Cowboys missed four xp’s! I guess the fifth time was the charm.

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