Tropical Depression 10 Update

[modrepub]

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More info: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

From NHC: The depression is forecast to strengthen during the next few days and could become a hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, bringing a potential of dangerous storm surge, heavy rainfall, and strong winds to portions of the west coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle by the middle of this week. Heavy rainfall is also likely to spread into portions of the Southeast U.S. by mid to late week. Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of these impacts, residents in these areas should monitor updates to the forecast of this system and ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place.

[underpants]

1. I had no idea we had parallel storms going

Luckily Franklin is going off into the Atlantic

[ProudMNDemocrat]

2. Looks like Rinnie D will have ro multi-task

In pretending he gives a shit about the people of Florida as he pretends to run for POTUS.

[Chainfire]

4. As of now, I am in the forecast area of impact. It has been about five years since hurricane

Michael brought widespread destruction to the area. I worry about the strength of this one once it gets into the historically warm Gulf of Mexico. When Michael was approaching it was predicted to be a cat 3 on landfall, but it hit as a cat 5. It hit mainly rural areas, or we would still be talking about it. There were thousands of acres of horizontal trees and roofless homes when it left, I lost 2/3 of the trees on my wooded property. Being a lifetime Floridian, and living through many hurricanes, the thought of another cat 5 is terrifying.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

5. Let us pray for the better outcomes.

Be safe.

[Cheezoholic]

3. As I noted yesterday we really need to watch this one

Its going to sit in or near the channel for up to 2 more days. This area is notorious for intensification in the past. Can't emphasize that enough. The storm has organized a day or two quicker than the models had forecast. The models are also slowly strengthening the forecast now potentially a Cat 2. (They only had it at 50mph at landfall a couple days ago). Everybody in the Appalachia Bay area to Tampa Bay area should've been packed and ready in May and should be watching this closely.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

6. Katrina intensified quickly in the Gulf to a Cat 5.

Being the Gulf is several degrees warmer than 18 years ago, who knows how this one will look.

[BlueIn_W_Pa]

7. This is probably the best site for prediction

They use the ECMWF (European modeling), which is better than what the US generally uses.

https://www.windy.com/?27.547,-80.149,5,m:eMYadVB

[modrepub]

8. Wow,

That's neat (eye candy). Guess we'll see how this pans out. Hurricanes are fickle things. Path is easier to predict than strength.

[BlueIn_W_Pa]

9. The major storms last year

took the path more often than not, of the European model than the others.

Eye candy, of course

Click on "weather satellite > weather radar" and it will give you live lightening strikes - which I use to determine if we need to cancel soccer matches.