This is a comment on a local weather site on Facebook

[Marthe48]

"Models showing consistency on an active pattern featuring multiple systems starting 1/6/24. Take care in what you share. Anyone forecasting specifics as of now shouldn't be trusted. More later. 1/1/24"

The Facebook page is a really good source of local weather prediction and storm coverage. The administrators are good about predicting weather carefully and we get a good idea of what to expect. I saw this post yesterday and thought it was an odd way to discuss a winter storm prediction. Today, one of my friends said it caught her eye.

I don't usually think of conspiracies or coded messages, but the wording and the date are so weird.

*I posted this in the lounge, but I realize I am speculating and it probably belongs in a different forum. Unfortunately there isn't a place to put what ifs. It is about weather, so I wonder if the wording is a new trend in forecasting language?

[cachukis]

1. Odd. I do not live in conspiracy land, but I am not

aware of any chat on this "pattern."

[Tree-Hugger]

5. It's been ongoing

It's chat about an active storm pattern for the Northeast as January moves along. Just weather chatter.

[getagrip_already]

2. fwiw. it does look like a storm is going to hit the northeast this weekend.....

If there is a conspiracy, then all the forecasters, even the youtubers like direct weather, are in on it.

Me, I'm going to finally clear out my parking space in the garage and put the car away on saturday. Just in case the plow needs to sweep through. Otherwise, no harm done, the car is better off inside anyway.

[oregonjen]

3. I don't read into that at all

Here in the PNW, everything has to align just right for snow or ice in the Willamette Valley. Snow that the models are forecasting frequently fizzle and two days out, change to just cold wet rain.
Often, amateur forecast model weather people will say exactly that, don’t trust the people saying snow 6 days out.

[Tree-Hugger]

4. Normal language for weather nerds

There is a system that should impact the east coast on the 7th. It'll involve the conglomeration of more than one system and then ride the coast. This has been modeled for a couple of weeks now. The reference to "anyone forecasting specifics as of now shouldn't be trusted," is slyling hinting at hype weather pages that tell you exactly how much you can expect yadda yadda far beyond the normal forecasting time. So, since this system came into view on models a few weeks ago, certain weather weenie pages post shit like, "super mega apocalypse storm to impact half the USA with up to 3 feet of snow," complete with overly colorful altered photos of weather maps. They'll predict how many inches weeks before a storm. Normal weather outlets don't like to make such predictions until just a few short days before a storm, with finalization of forecasts less than 24 hours prior. And then they focus on nowcasting - altering the forecast as the storm is happening based on the actual dynamics in play.

I hope that makes sense because I explained it badly. I am part of the weather community and SKYWARN certified, so I am posting and consuming this content on a daily basis. Hype weather pages have become a big problem in recent years and that is what the sentence about "forecasting specifics" is alluding to. I, and many others, use fairly similar language. People tend to share the hype stuff, which often ends up wrong. And then, as humans tend to do, people blame the actual legitimate weather sources and it becomes a big mess of misinformation and distrust.

I hope I helped. ☺️

[Marthe48]

6. Yes, you did

and so did the other posts. I deleted my post in the lounge, but I'll leave this one up

Thank you