2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWashington Post On Hillary and Donald’s Unfavorable Ratings: ‘There Is Just No Comparison’
The media are fond of reminding us that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump both have high unfavorable ratings. However, the reasons for those unfavorables couldnt be more different not to mention that Donalds are setting modern records for political toxicity.
By BNR Team
June 17, 2016
Much breathless discussion has been had among members of the national media about the high unfavorable numbers attached to both major-party presidential candidates. But one of these things is not like the other.
For one, Hillarys high unfavorables are, as explained by Peter Daou, the result of a billionaire-funded conservative effort to destroy her image. For decades, she has been subjected to a relentless campaign of character assaults and rank sexism, until demonstrably false narratives about her get repeated even and especially by journalists ostensibly reporting only facts as though they were true.
--------snip
Greg Sargent took a look at an analysis of Donalds historically high unfavorables and notes: While Hillary Clinton is also disliked, there is just no comparison to Trump.
--------snip
Conversely, most of the people who dont like Donald can articulate precisely why without hesitation. Theres no invocation of some hazy unease based on something they might have heard once upon a time. Its a concrete list of objections, a litany recounting any number of his myriad failings.
And this despite the fact that over the past year, the media have been tipping the scales in his favor.
Full Article at BNR
SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)any group actually likes the guy. They both have high unfavorables, but Hillary's tends to break down as such loved by democrats, loathed by republicans, mixed-hate from Indies. Donald on the otherhand tends to be loathed democrats and more or less hated by republicans and independents. That's a big issue if your own party, more or less hates you.
The_Casual_Observer
(27,742 posts)David__77
(23,879 posts)...particularly among Democrats.
Cha
(305,909 posts)Maru Kitteh
(29,263 posts)ismnotwasm
(42,484 posts)LiberalFighter
(53,527 posts)HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)if HRC can't do better than a 5 point diff against Trump's current optics debacle she's in for a very tough road ahead...
folks may despise Trump but if she can only eek out a 5 point spread against that guy at this point... YIKES
http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/21/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-national-cnn-poll/
BootinUp
(49,169 posts)Thanks for your concern though.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)why sin't HRC doing better than 7.6 points against Trump... and a Trump that's been making such a fool of himself these past few weeks?
Like I stated, HRC should be doing much better against a candidate like Trump, if it's this close when he's at his worst... well, that's cause for concern
BootinUp
(49,169 posts)the current polls. Thanks for sharing your concern over and over again.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)current optics has Trump in the basement yet HRC is only polling 7 points ahead, commenting about the 'WHY' should be first and foremost here
Understanding the facts and dealing with them should matter to clear that so the point spread can grow, why would you deflect conversation about that?
Unfavorables matter, to ignore them would make you part of the problem, and I know you want to help the candidate beat Trump in NOV so, how can you be 'satisfied' with the current polling spread?
BootinUp
(49,169 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)There's no goal difference tiebreaker in politics. 271 gets you the gig even without a popular vote win let alone a 7+pt one, and any sensible EV projection at this point is showing 320+
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)so the goal is 'just enough'... got it
thx for the clarification that 'just enough' matters more
TwilightZone
(28,834 posts)Intentional obtuseness is not a terribly compelling argument.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)'There's no goal difference tiebreaker in politics. 271 gets you the gig' ---- reads as 'just enough'
when party principles, and policy and issues matter to me, then I speak to that... 'just enough' doesn't cut it for me and it shouldn't to any other DEM
Trump by all reasoning is tanking his candidacy currently, yet the current polling has HRC only 7 points ahead, any reasonable person would look at that and wonder about the 'WHY'... hence my point, since folks will be looking at the qualities of both sides, so understanding the unfavorables on both sides factor into those polling numbers....
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)a 50, 100 or 200 EV margin don't give the President a single extra item of power or authority. She won't be able to veto a single extra bill, appoint a single extra judge, sign a single extra treaty with 471EVs over 271. It just doesn't matter in any material way in the presidential election.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)yeah, continue to be dismissive of the power of engaged citizenry
yeah, continue to not get the electorate involved after elections...
it DOES matter, this is the fallacy that establishment tries to spin and why they still don't understand what's going on within both sides of the parties this primary cycle
NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)but I'll try, anyway, given you're so concerned. National polls, particularly at this early stage, tend to be not only wrong but in many cases spectacularly wrong. We don't elect presidents by raw popular vote, as I assume you know (or, maybe not).
But I add my thanks for your deep concern.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)either address them or don't, I'm merely pointing out the facts
feel free to debate that, otherwise your 'concern' is noted
NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)Sheesh.
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)but yet there's that attitude of 'win at any cost' again
maybe it's time to pay attention to the 'costs' and stop the wrongs these 'costs' impose
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)a lot can happen between now and November. Rumors are that the GOP will find a way to replace Trump...some say with Mittens, others with Ryan.
The Mittens rumor was backed up with some facts or other...iirc, Mittens people have taken over top roles at Convention and may some other spots.
Goblinmonger
(22,340 posts)But I don't think it will be Ryan. Whoever goes in now is a sacrificial lamb whose main goal is to not lose the Senate and House. Ryan wants to make a real run down the line and getting hammered this year isn't going to help that.
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)he's dumb enough to not recognize he's a sacrificial lamb and still smarting over his 2012 drubbing.
I'll never forget the look on his face...and Obama's.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/oct/16/obama-romney-second-debate-live
Goblinmonger
(22,340 posts)Second, the 43.7% number is troubling. That's what the model says she is pulling right now. In a two person race. Her unfavorables are hurting here, clearly. That's why I think the VP pick is insanely important right now. She has to give those that don't like her a reason to vote for her more than that she "isn't Trump."
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)While there's a valid leftist critique of the Democratic Party (including Clinton, Obama, etc.), so many of the anti-Clinton folks are the product of "a relentless campaign of character assaults and rank sexism" that goes back decades, as well as "some hazy unease based on something they might have heard once upon a time." Well said, BNR Team.