2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumICYMI - Did Russian hackers elect the U.S. president? Dont believe the hype.
Washington Post, Ryan C. Maness and Brandon Valeriano*****
Two material facts have combined to create this latest cyber hysteria. First, we know that just over half of voters were disappointed at the results of the Nov. 8 election. Second, Russia hacked personal and campaign emails over the summer, along with voter rolls in some states, apparently to erode confidence in the American electoral system.
*****
Suggestions that Russia hacked the U.S. presidential election are unhelpful, as Russian capabilities do not extend that far. Hacking voting precincts would take physical manipulation of machines. Hackers would have to open and physically reprogram each voting machine in each targeted precinct, or swap in malware-infested voting cards to replace the original ones. This would take a legion of Russian spies betting on not getting caught not a risk that a calculating Russian President Vladimir Putin would be likely to take.
We do know that the U.S. government warned the Kremlin before the election and made it clear that any meddling would be met with retaliation. Russia apparently stopped its email-hacking activities before the election. Some analysts argued that this move reflected a realization in Moscow that the election of Trump might not be at all helpful to Putins international ambitions. Its also likely that U.S. actions, such as closing off WikiLeaks Internet access, were proportional responses that demonstrated U.S. resolve.
*****
Research by an Israeli team led by Michael Gross suggests that peoples fears of cyberterrorism are not significantly different from their fears about conventional terrorism. In fact, the threat of cyber violations provokes a biological reaction, as measured by increased stress. This suggests that the impact of cyber violations weighs more heavily in peoples minds and bodies than in reality.
That an election theoretically could be hacked does not mean that it was. The hypothetical possibilities inherent in digital attacks often far outweigh the actual extent of digital aggression.
*****
Read it all at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/11/24/did-russian-hackers-elect-the-u-s-president-dont-believe-the-hype/?utm_term=.ecbb79dacef2
Freethinker65
(11,144 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)In front of millions of viewers.
What is this uproar about?
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)It didn't change anything before the election.
Now it should?
I know it hurts bad. Hillary said it would, for a long time.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Of lefties bought those crap insinuations too. Made a non-story into an endless scandal. Useful idiots were all over the place.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)A lot of us around here are well aware of how damaging speculation and innuendo can be - decades of it.
If the evidence leads to a criminal charge, we know how to proceed.
A sitting president resigned when the facts came to light.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Then don't partake in the discussion of news reports. Obviously others will.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)It is discussing what wasn't said that I find to be non-productive.
triron
(22,240 posts)There is some circumstantial evidence to that effect;
that being the statistical improbability of the actual vote count given exit polls and pre-election polls.
marybourg
(13,189 posts)But - disinformation, what we are now calling false news. Clinton is dying, Clinton is running a pedophile ring, she killed Vince Foster, abused a rape victim, gave classified secrets away, etc. etc. THIS is interfering with our election and is classic Kremlin modus operandi.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)If things work, no one cares where it may have originated last century.
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)and tabulators. It's hard to even take this seriously.
uponit7771
(91,768 posts)... too and it was one of the things the Obama admin tried to protect against where Turtle McFuckLips said no
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)Not the voters, the "tabulators."
Which have repeatedly been shown to be more accurate counting ballots than humans.
triron
(22,240 posts)not when they've been hacked.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)That is not fact.
That is speculation.
The Obama administration has said they have found no evidence of hacking on Election Day.
triron
(22,240 posts)that they weren't hacked.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)we can never prove they were not hacked?
HoneyBadgerDontCare
(9 posts)Soon, we may consider cyberterrorism to be more of a threat than traditional terrorism (bombs, extremists), given how connected to the Internet we are. If you think about it, a terrorist can hurt a few people, maybe a thousand, unless they do something truly outrageous. While a cyberterrorist can hurt millions, with little more effort than it takes to hurt a hundred.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)is to keep your eyes off his other hand."
Belief is thinking something is true absent fact and proof. Enjoy!
But keep your eye on what is really going on.