Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumCan't blame Bernie. He is doing what he does best.
He is leveraging what little influence he has left to its maximum, while he still can.
Bernie is smart enough to know that his "the people" vs "establishment" narrative has fizzled. The Primary results are clear on this. He is now falling back on the "we won on ideological grounds" narrative, which is also unfounded, but this is not yet as obvious as the failure of his populist message. This will become obvious in time, but not yet. Bernie still has space to maneuver, but it is shrinking, and fast. The next debate gives Bernie the opportunity, possibly his last one, to solidify the grounds for demanding and getting concessions from the Democratic Party to include items from his agenda in its platform. This is why he is pushing so hard right now. This will surely change, commensurate with Bernie's ability to retain relevance in this race.
He is unlikely to succeed to the degree he did in 2016. In fact, he is unlikely to retain sufficient relevance to last him until the convention. My sense is, the sooner he makes an endorsement deal with Biden, the better off Bernie's position will be in the end. My guess is, Bernie will endorse Joe by April. Possibly a day or two after Warren's endorsement, but that's a whole different calculus.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(120,601 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beastie boy
(11,089 posts)Although I am not completely discounting Bernie's belligerence winning over his intellect. Irresistible force vs immovable object. Hard to predict.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
aikoaiko
(34,201 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Velveteen Ocelot
(120,601 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
aikoaiko
(34,201 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
beastie boy
(11,089 posts)Will it be before or after Bernie's endorsement becomes meaningless? Will it be a strong endorsement that moves his followers to Biden's side in a meaningful way, or will it be lip service to nominally fulfill his "duty" to the party he claims to be a member of?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)There's a very narrow window of opportunity where he can influence his disappointed fans. But after that window is closed, it's too late. By then, the disappointment of his "fans" will have already curdled... it will turn into anger and bitterness and resentment... and a strong desire for revenge.
Based on the fact that Bernie is doing absolutely nothing to rein-in the anti-Democrat and anti-Biden rhetoric and lies and smears coming from his top campaign staff (and other trusted high-level surrogates) he's given me zero reason to expect any genuine or sincere or robust endorsement of Joe Biden.
Lip service only, then he'll disappear... leaving his "soldiers" without a leader, and they'll just go rogue. All I'm saying is, we've seen this before... more than once he's made it very clear that he has no allegiance to, and that he's no friend of Democrats or the Democratic party.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beastie boy
(11,089 posts)Bernie's loyal soldiers would lead you to believe. What leads me to this conclusion is that Bernie keeps losing popular support, and unlike Trump's, his base is not rock solid. His base support had not hit bottom yet, which makes me suspect that Bernie's supporters are still in the process of reassessing their loyalties.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
showblue22
(1,026 posts)But he will go to Vermont and write a book first.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,147 posts)will not give Bernie an outsized influence on the party platform.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cozmo
(1,402 posts)He just needs to fade away. The only thing he is good for is to piss people off. For that he gets a gold star. We do not need him, he's working against us.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
msongs
(70,122 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(52,570 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)This approach does not seem to have worked through the latest primaries, the BS campaign for the last year some, or the 4 years before that.
It may be that BS, like trump [who he resembles in many startling ways], has just one basic gear - ATTACK!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
betsuni
(27,255 posts)Which will consist of making it sound more like his stump speech. Throw in a few more "billionaires" and "fair share" and "the one percent." The fifteen dollar minimum wage, higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy, universal health care, income equality, criminal justice reform -- most of what he and his supporters think are his unique issues are already in the 2016 platform anyway. We all have to pretend they're not for some reason. If I have to listen to him going through the list of usual Democratic policies that he claims only he talks about or wants, I will scream.
I just can't see him concede until forced to at the last possible moment. Grudgingly. Then he'll disappear after the convention, like last time, to write a book. It's a pop-up book for juicebox revolutionaries, "My Big Bernie Movement Book." Look for it on Amazon.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(154,120 posts)sanders not dropping out may help Biden. sanders keeps on losing primaries by large margins nnly strenghten's Joe's position https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/03/11/no-surprise-bernie-sanders-is-still-all-about-himself-never-party/
Second, it is good to keep Biden in fighting form, continuing to boost turnout and showing, as he did in Philadelphia, how presidential he is. Biden can pivot to the general election, essentially ignoring Sanders. (His planned speech on the coronavirus is the perfect opportunity to leave Sanders out of the discussion entirely.)....
Whoever is to replace Sanders as the standard-bearer for the left hopefully someone as smart and wonky as Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) will need to learn how to win elections. (Hint: It is not by scaring voters or attaching oneself to the socialist label.) When in office, a new generation of leaders on the left will need to learn the art of deal-making rather than waste years, as Sanders has, rabble-rousing but accomplishing nothing. Unlike Sanders, Warren (or whoever else takes the reins) will not be burdened by a record of reflexively praising dictators nor be driven to attack fellow Democrats.
Sanders will end the race at some point, a diminished figure. In retrospect, his wins in 2016 will be seen more as an anti-Hillary Clinton vote than a pro-Sanders vote. How he behaves at Sundays debate will determine whether he leaves a bad taste in the mouths of Democrats.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MrsCoffee
(5,822 posts)Don't fucking tell me I can't.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
zackymilly
(2,375 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden