Enten: Question isn't if Biden sweeps next primaries, but if Sanders can keep losses under 20 pts

[highplainsdem]

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The question isn't whether Biden sweeps next week's contests. The question is whether Sanders can keep any state within 20 pts.

[TwilightZone]

1. 538 said that Sanders would need a 20-point surge just to stay competitive.

And even then it would still be uphill.

That kind of puts it in perspective.

[George II]

2. They also forecast delegates awarded for each state, too. After the 4 states vote on Tuesday...

...they forecast a Biden lead of 366 delegates (1293-927)

After March 29 it'll be up to 432 (1403-971)

After the caucus in Guam, on May 2, Biden will cross the magical 1991 line.

[TwilightZone]

3. My guess was the end of April

So, not too far off.

Part of me hopes that Sanders stays in until 1991. That would close the door on a lot of what-ifs and if-onlys and leave fewer reasons for his supporters to behave poorly at the convention.

[George II]

4. In hindsight, eliminating the super delegates from the first ballot was a wise decision....

...the super delegates were a contentious element in Weaver's refusal to concede, "we're going to get enough SDs to gain the nomination".

Ain't gonna happen this time.

[TwilightZone]

5. Seems like it.

Can't complain about them if they don't even come into play.

[Cha]

6. Pretty sure you'll get your hope.

[SidDithers]

7. If Bernie won't concede and drop out, I hope he suffers humiliating defeats...

I hope he loses by 50 points in FL.

His campaign is over. He seems to be the only one who doesn't know it.

Sid

[Gothmog]

8. sanders comments on Castro are hurting sanders

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