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Quixote1818

(30,386 posts) Wed Oct 30, 2024, 06:28 PM Oct 30

Why Election Polls NEVER Match Election Results

1 replies

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Why Election Polls NEVER Match Election Results (Original Post) Quixote1818 Oct 30 OP

It depends on how one defines accuracy. TwilightZone Oct 30 #1

TwilightZone

(28,833 posts)

1. It depends on how one defines accuracy.

Reply to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 06:34 PM

Oct 30

"The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022"

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

Of note:

Ironically, after the election, a narrative emerged that 2022 polling was actually too good for Republicans — a claim that our data doesn’t bear out, either. While the polls in a few closely watched races — like Arizona’s governorship9 and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat10 — were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats.

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