The Polls could be off and Democrats could win it all...from 538. It could go the the other way too

[Sympthsical]

29. It's close and could go either way

Is there a hidden Dobbs undercurrent and over-correct for their under-sampling of Republicans last time around?

Or are polls including Dobbs and they've fine-tuned to accurately reflect Republicans?

The answer isn't knowable until Tuesday (or a few days after).

I think polls are basically in the right ballpark. However, I'm not quite as down on the Senate as some places are. I think Fetterman lands at a comfortable 2-3%% and Georgia goes to run off, where everyone will fight tooth and nail over it. Nevada is my true, "I have no idea, but I don't feel great about it." It's too early to know about AZ with Victor dropping out. I'm still generally comfortable with Kelly.

I still say Republican House at 218-225 area. Too many competitive districts favor them. A national number for Congress is useless, since each race is so localized. With blue voters condensed and red voters spread out, even when we're a little ahead in the national sentiment we're behind in results. A lot of polls show them ahead nationally, so I think the House is probably the most certain thing in any of this.

But hey, maybe that's wrong too.

We'll just have to see what we see.