If the SCOTUS votes to keep TFG on the ballot,

[Caliman73]

2. I am not sure that is correct.

They seem to have a way out and showed that in some of their questioning and argumentation. They are saying that while the States administer elections, that because this is about a Federal Election, the States do not have jurisdiction to decide unilaterally that anyone can be disqualified. Since no Federal court has adjudicated that Trump engaged in insurrection, the State Courts cannot simply assert it and take him off.

I don't necessarily agree with that, but it is actually a relatively clever way to avoid some of the problems with it. Obviously Trump is going to lie that he was "COMPLETELY EXONERATED" but that is expected. It will be a narrow, thread the needle decision.

I would actually rather see Trump on the ballot. As his other cases heat up and he gets closer to getting convicted, people will be paying attention and will move away from him. President Biden will win bigger than last time and Trump will be humiliated. He won't have this issue to whine about, though we know he will whine about everything anyway.