Alex Wagner's special is disheartening

[Qutzupalotl]

73. Butting in here, but I think the interviewees might be extrapolating their own intentions

of perhaps a lackluster lean towards Trump to mean than since they won't go to the trouble of standing in line for him, probably a lot of other people feel the same and will stay home too, leading to a Trump loss.

Pollsters say this question of who you think will win is a better predictor of the final outcome than who are you voting for.

Another phenomenon at work here is the bandwagon effect. People want to vote for a winner so they can say they were a part of history. If their candidate should lose, they would be embarrassed, almost as much as if their favorite sports team lost. Picking a winner means they are smart, and they are motivated to feel this. They would stay home rather than have to admit they voted for a loser.

Those who follow the issues can point to X, Y, and Z to explain their voting choice. Those who can't think for themselves are prey to influencers and propagandists, and so they fall back into tribal thinking, bandwagonism, and less intellectually sensible reasons for voting a particular way — but which are nonetheless compelling.