General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: The polls are saying this election is tied in the presidential race. If they are correct, then there is something very [View all]lees1975
(6,090 posts)Those grants wouldn't do squat to cover the polling expenses. They make money every time they are cited by a media source. It's a contract business.
The rest of your post is just as much bullshit. The NYT had Mehmet Oz winning Pennsylvania right up to the day he lost by 5. Virtually every poll went through the inevitable "tightening" shift two weeks out, because they were predicting such wrong results prior to that. Every journalist citing "red tsunami" and "red wave" cited polling data to support it. It was not even a journalist, it was Michael Moore, who said the polls were bullshit and the Republicans not only would not reclaim the senate, (538 gave the GOP 60% odds of winning it) but their gains in the house would be minimal. Even MSNBC and Steve Kornacki had to come up with a whole list of new house seats that were not on their "too close to call" list, including Lauren Boebert, who won her district by less than 600 votes, but was not on the danger list of "close" races for the GOP.
The polls, in terms of the accuracy they once had, are staggeringly inaccurate and have been at least since 2016. That's why you see these wide MOE's. NBC used to brag their national poll had a 1% MOE. Now it's 5, which is a ten point swing. That's worthless in an election.
A landslide now is what Fetterman did in PA in 2022, and Shapiro, which, by the way, the polls got wrong in both cases. So if we're looking at Harris up by 6 across the board in nine or ten national polls, that's huge. And leading, even by one point, in all seven battlegrounds, which is being shown by multiple polls, is also big. Most Trump supporters are still behind him because they know nothing. That, too, is a media problem.