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displacedvermoter

(3,256 posts)

31. If Robinson is trailing by same double digit

Reply to WarGamer (Reply #26)

Sat Oct 5, 2024, 12:47 AM

Oct 5

margin he is now come election day, and the full FEMA effort is up and running by then, not sure how you see NC being "sealed".

And not sure that Lake trailing Gallego in AZ by another double digit margin is a clear indication that state is "going back". You are anticipating pretty dramatic ticket splitting in both states.

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*****Breaking -- Harris' Lead Grows When Eliminating Biased, Republican Leaning Pollsters [View all] Chasing Dreams Oct 4 OP

I've been posting about this too senseandsensibility Oct 4 #1

Yup, I've seen your posts Chasing Dreams Oct 4 #2

Thanks for doing this! senseandsensibility Oct 4 #3

If you remember how we have been overperforming polls wryter2000 Oct 5 #40

I also had a fight on my hands wryter2000 Oct 5 #39

Further essential reading regarding the current state of polling: Fiendish Thingy Oct 4 #4

I read the article a week ago. Chasing Dreams Oct 4 #8

Get rid of everything you don't like, and the results improve! Prairie Gates Oct 4 #5

Nope. Read the article I linked and it will make more sense. Chasing Dreams Oct 4 #7

But what is the definition of "a GOP affiliation"? TheRickles Oct 4 #23

Post Dobbs... SomedayKindaLove Oct 4 #6

WI + MI + PA 270 BWdem4life Oct 4 #9

Hear! Hear! littlemissmartypants Oct 4 #16

Even getting rid of the Republican-leaning polls indicates how close of a race this is. Self Esteem Oct 4 #10

Close enough to lose via suppression, theft, and litigation Blaukraut Oct 4 #14

I hear you, but we have an arsenal too Chasing Dreams Oct 4 #17

I'm not toast. littlemissmartypants Oct 4 #18

No, we're not. People were saying that in 2018, 2020, and 2022. Elessar Zappa Oct 5 #37

Imagine if such polls were never included to push the undecided... GreenWave Oct 4 #28

Election night is going to be scary as hell liberal N proud Oct 4 #11

If you live in a cannabis legal state Chasing Dreams Oct 4 #13

Yes. I think people need to prepare themselves for a very long election night. Self Esteem Oct 4 #15

Only poll that matters is the one taken on 11/5/24 n/t aggiesal Oct 4 #12

That's right, aggiesal. 💯😸❤️ littlemissmartypants Oct 4 #21

With all the vote suppression techniques being employed slightlv Oct 4 #19

She's spectacular. ❤️ littlemissmartypants Oct 4 #22

Wow! Thank You! lucca18 Oct 4 #20

I don't agree with some of the polls you have listed. kerry-is-my-prez Oct 4 #24

They aren't mine - they are from research led by renowned Democratic Strategist Simon Rosenberg Chasing Dreams Oct 5 #35

I hope this is true AdamGG Oct 4 #25

The problem is... ONE State of the Blue Wall and Trump probably wins. WarGamer Oct 4 #26

If Robinson is trailing by same double digit displacedvermoter Oct 5 #31

4 weeks... we'll know soon. WarGamer Oct 5 #32

Why wouldn't the pro-Trump pollsters cheat? Pro-Trump media and pro-Trump lawmakers cheat all the time. Doodley Oct 4 #27

Don't think in terms of cheating, think in terms of data model bias Amishman Oct 5 #34

Accuracy is measured by pollsters' LAST survey each cycle. Chasing Dreams Oct 5 #36

I recommend this week's Science Friday on NPR with regards to polling. GoCubsGo Oct 4 #29

Thing is a supposedly knowledgeable person like displacedvermoter Oct 5 #30

My thoughts all along. Emile Oct 5 #33

Napolitan is a news network that uses RMG to do its field work. kerry-is-my-prez Oct 5 #38