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Chasing Dreams

(525 posts)
36. Accuracy is measured by pollsters' LAST survey each cycle.
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 12:10 PM
Oct 2024

The issue with right wing pollsters flooding the zone with junk results — except the last one each cycle — is that they are designed to muck up dem strategies about where to invest time, staff, and money during the election; depress dem turnout and enthusiasm; and generally muck things up.

Trafalgar and others will magically shift their polling in the end to claim accuracy. And no one remembers the bullshit they spewed along the way.

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I've been posting about this too senseandsensibility Oct 2024 #1
Yup, I've seen your posts Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #2
Thanks for doing this! senseandsensibility Oct 2024 #3
If you remember how we have been overperforming polls wryter2000 Oct 2024 #40
I also had a fight on my hands wryter2000 Oct 2024 #39
Further essential reading regarding the current state of polling: Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #4
I read the article a week ago. Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #8
Get rid of everything you don't like, and the results improve! Prairie Gates Oct 2024 #5
Nope. Read the article I linked and it will make more sense. Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #7
But what is the definition of "a GOP affiliation"? TheRickles Oct 2024 #23
Post Dobbs... SomedayKindaLove Oct 2024 #6
WI + MI + PA 270 BWdem4life Oct 2024 #9
Hear! Hear! littlemissmartypants Oct 2024 #16
Even getting rid of the Republican-leaning polls indicates how close of a race this is. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #10
Close enough to lose via suppression, theft, and litigation Blaukraut Oct 2024 #14
I hear you, but we have an arsenal too Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #17
I'm not toast. littlemissmartypants Oct 2024 #18
No, we're not. People were saying that in 2018, 2020, and 2022. Elessar Zappa Oct 2024 #37
Imagine if such polls were never included to push the undecided... GreenWave Oct 2024 #28
Election night is going to be scary as hell liberal N proud Oct 2024 #11
If you live in a cannabis legal state Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #13
Yes. I think people need to prepare themselves for a very long election night. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #15
Only poll that matters is the one taken on 11/5/24 n/t aggiesal Oct 2024 #12
That's right, aggiesal. 💯😸❤️ littlemissmartypants Oct 2024 #21
With all the vote suppression techniques being employed slightlv Oct 2024 #19
She's spectacular. ❤️ littlemissmartypants Oct 2024 #22
Wow! Thank You! lucca18 Oct 2024 #20
I don't agree with some of the polls you have listed. kerry-is-my-prez Oct 2024 #24
They aren't mine - they are from research led by renowned Democratic Strategist Simon Rosenberg Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #35
I hope this is true AdamGG Oct 2024 #25
The problem is... ONE State of the Blue Wall and Trump probably wins. WarGamer Oct 2024 #26
If Robinson is trailing by same double digit displacedvermoter Oct 2024 #31
4 weeks... we'll know soon. WarGamer Oct 2024 #32
Why wouldn't the pro-Trump pollsters cheat? Pro-Trump media and pro-Trump lawmakers cheat all the time. Doodley Oct 2024 #27
Don't think in terms of cheating, think in terms of data model bias Amishman Oct 2024 #34
Accuracy is measured by pollsters' LAST survey each cycle. Chasing Dreams Oct 2024 #36
I recommend this week's Science Friday on NPR with regards to polling. GoCubsGo Oct 2024 #29
Thing is a supposedly knowledgeable person like displacedvermoter Oct 2024 #30
My thoughts all along. Emile Oct 2024 #33
Napolitan is a news network that uses RMG to do its field work. kerry-is-my-prez Oct 2024 #38
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