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moniss

(6,275 posts)
33. Yes but extrapolating a collapse from thousands of years ago
Thu Oct 24, 2024, 10:06 AM
Oct 24

and the ability to migrate to survivable areas is not really useful in thinking about today. The times in the past did not have the density of population, the weapons technology regarding battles for resources, the degradation of water resources or the instant worldwide communication and awareness of moves for survival. That last one may be one of the most important regarding survival then versus now.

Those previous civilizations did not have to deal with others instantly knowing that a "survivable area" was inhabited or obtainable. So today if a particular area of countries are looking far more "survivable" the communication of that fact to the billions of people on the planet will be immediate and the stampede will be on along with whatever political/military pressure is employed against the "survival countries" to allow the influx. If we try to curtail the influx to areas where people can survive better then we are basically enacting extermination policies perhaps dressed up under nicer labels. Not too unlike some of the resistance to efforts to migrate that we see today.

We can't just feel we can just "move somewhere else" because, other than the Arctic/Antarctic, pretty much has population and claim/governance by others. Our ability to provide clean fresh water for ourselves is constantly going in the wrong direction for all the known reasons while the ancients did not have this struggle of having diminished so much of the world's water quality.

But it goes even beyond that because there are far more things that happen when civilizations collapse and survival attempts take place. It is not just a matter of immediate survival things like food, water and shelter. Huge changes happen within people and social dynamics as well. Far too often when we read items about climate change, environmental degradation of species etc. we usually are seeing climate scientists, biologists etc. talking about the physical impacts. Rarely do we see anywhere near the amount of "ink" given to sociologists, psychologists etc. talking about the changes in the social dynamic and in us as people when these "change scenarios" are discussed.

A good book to read about the question of "us" is "Commander One" by Peter George from 1965 and was a "sequel" of sorts to "Red Alert" which Kubrick used as the basis for "Dr. Strangelove". In "Commander One" Peter George tells the story of a world in which China plots to get the US and Russia to destroy each other so that China can take over the world. The story also is about the US having prepared for the scenario of "doomsday" and potential survival by having a plan for "survivors" to go on board a submarine to an area in the South Pacific that would be the least impacted by fallout. The scenario becomes all too real. But the storytelling ability of George is nothing short of monumental and what happens is not what one might expect one way or the other or for reasons we might have thought. The ending of the book is one of the most extraordinary things in literature I've ever seen an author do. I won't give it away because to say it is to negate experiencing it and George wrote this to be experienced rather than described or recited.

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K & R malaise Oct 23 #1
But...but....Kamala did not give interviews...and Hillary had e-mails... Moostache Oct 23 #2
And people would rather have a beer with George Bush than with Al Gore. LisaM Oct 23 #5
And despite this information the MAGA and GOP assholes keep merrily dancing around saying hadEnuf Oct 23 #19
Sigh ... and I would have always preferred that beer with Gore. RandomNumbers Oct 27 #41
The price of eggs is too high. Klarkashton Oct 28 #51
I've been muttering for years that PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 23 #3
More accurately perhaps, life as humanity knows it will be in deep doo-doo. Magoo48 Oct 23 #12
The obscenely rich are addicted to profits, orthoclad Oct 27 #39
I'm worried about all of the methane gas that will be released when the Arctic permafrost melts. OMGWTF Oct 23 #20
They have some Metaphorical Oct 24 #26
Do not need to worry about the planet. The planet as you mention will take care of itself. LiberalArkie Oct 24 #35
Wow. This is probably the most important article of the year. ananda Oct 23 #4
And I'm ,out of respect,not gonna make a smart ass remark. BattleRow Oct 23 #13
There is another Delphinus Oct 23 #6
K&R x 1,000,000 c-rational Oct 23 #7
This has been known since the early 2000s relayerbob Oct 23 #8
Is it finally time for the carbon eaters? Coexist Oct 23 #9
ppl cd kill their lawns. mopinko Oct 24 #25
It takes energy to remove carbon orthoclad Oct 27 #40
Sadly this will not get the attention it deserves. The world will suffer. live love laugh Oct 23 #10
we are saying goodbye et tu Oct 23 #11
Maybe it is getting ready to say goodbye to us Stuckinthebush Oct 23 #15
true nt et tu Oct 23 #18
The current has been slowing for some time now Warpy Oct 23 #14
the fog may clear et tu Oct 23 #17
Oh, I'm not that gloomy Warpy Oct 23 #21
Yes but extrapolating a collapse from thousands of years ago moniss Oct 24 #33
First, you can't predict it Warpy Oct 24 #36
You miss the point entirely.nt moniss Oct 24 #37
Humans might revert to lithic hunter-gatherers orthoclad Oct 27 #43
That's usually who manages to survive any major collapse Warpy Oct 27 #44
Usually? The spcies has never seen a collapse like the one approaching. orthoclad Oct 27 #45
The one around 1177-186 (the date changes constantly) BC comes very close Warpy Oct 27 #46
No comparison. The global biosphere didn't collapse. orthoclad Oct 28 #48
That's just it, we don't know what happened to erase civilizations over such a wide area Warpy Oct 28 #49
You miss my point orthoclad Oct 28 #50
You missed my last sentences. Warpy Oct 28 #52
Mutual. Gotcha. orthoclad Oct 28 #53
Oct 23, south-central KY, 86F on my porch. Hermit-The-Prog Oct 23 #16
We're in the same neighborhood in KY Bayard Oct 23 #22
Well that's terrifying. JanMichael Oct 24 #32
89 the forecast high for 10/24 here in Missouri . . . hatrack Oct 24 #28
Just.... Clouds Passing Oct 23 #23
Kick Duppers Oct 24 #24
K&R Think. Again. Oct 24 #27
Stop Global Whining czarjak Oct 24 #29
K&R Wild blueberry Oct 24 #30
On the Gulf Coast.... surfered Oct 24 #31
If the system of Atlantic currents collapses mn9driver Oct 24 #34
Excellent point that gets ignored orthoclad Oct 28 #54
Kick Duppers Oct 24 #38
Jesus will save us dalton99a Oct 27 #42
There is also the danger of stagnation. Morbius Oct 28 #47
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