If your gut says Trump will win

[pat_k]

30. We're in a better position than they are. Believe it. It's True.

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The race isn't slipping away from her as some have argued...

And this week, we had confirmation that all the polling we're getting that's independent polling is looking just like the polling we got last week. What has changed is that there has been a flood of what I call red wave 2024 polls coming into the averages. And that flood, which is now more than 80 polls by 31 different organizations...

[listen for more good data]

We have a habit of going too quickly to worry... Come at the world with a little more hopium -- hope with a plan... Live in a place of joy and the glass half full, or whatever your analogy is, do not spend these next 13 days in a place of worry and glass half empty. It's a choice.

17:29 Usually, at the end of October there is a debate and it sort of wakes everybody up.... Donald Trump... got his ass kicked so bad in the last debate, he couldn't do this final debate...

so it's up to the campaigns.

19:35 I want to give Kamala's team incredible credit... they built a strategy around closing strong with incredible frenetic energy to show this intensity that we're bringing here...

20:08 Our capacity to close is much stronger than theirs, meaning it's far more likely that we're going to move the election toward us.

21:21 I texted with Olivia Troy today, who's one of the President's of Republicans for Harris... she said she had people coming up to her at events in the last couple days -- Republicans saying, you know, I was kind of on the fence, but this behavior in the last week. I can't do it. I just can't do it... And if the pollster I was on the panel with yesterday is correct, she's seeking slow incremental movement toward Harris.

22:00
The likely scenario in the election was always going to be that at the end of the day a big chunk of republicans just couldn't vote for this guy because he is unacceptable; he is the most dangerous man in American political history. He is someone who not only wants to strip the rights and freedoms away from the women of America. . . but literally, Donald Trump is promising that he's going to rip apart and end the global economy that has made us prosperous; he's going to end the Western Alliance that's kept us safe; he'd going to end American democracy that's kept us free. These are the things that he's telling us he's going to do.

23:45
We've gotta win this thing for our families, our democracy, our freedoms and our future. . . . We've gotta close here with joy, and confidence, and strength, and power, and not from fear and worry. Fear and worry are what they want. What we want is we close this thing with joy and love of country and love of one another. These are far more powerful emotions than fear and worry.

24:20
Let me say one last thing. . . I want to remind everybody about one of the central reasons that we're all here together at hopium, which is that -- and Joe Biden talked about this in his State of the Union speech this year. He talked about FDR's speech in 1941; FDRs State of the Union address. He talked about how that address was the beginning of the call of America to rally against fascism and rising authoritarianism in what became the rallying cry tht began to move America into World War II. That speech though was also the speech where FDR laid out his vision of the four freedoms and how he wanted a world that was not base on dominion and control, one country having control over another or one person having control over another. A world based not on dominion, but freedom. And he laid out the Freedom from Want, Freedom from Fear, Freedom of Religion, Freedom of the Press. He laid out these four freedoms for all of us . . . And these four freedoms became the foundation of the modern world. The four freedoms became the basis of the Atlantic Charter that got the United States and the United Kingdom together in 1941, that became the basis of the alliance that won World War II. The four freedoms became the basis of the United Nations Charter in 1945, which laid out an international law, a global system where one nation could not have control of another; dominion over another. And it was the beginning of the unraveling of all holdings by European powers, their colonial system. FDR forced the unraveling of all that to be consisten with the United Nations view that no nation should have dominion over another. This is part of the the war in Ukraine is about. Russia is trying to go back to a period prior to the United Nations where countries coul have dominion over one another. And then in 1948, negotiated in part by Eleanor Roosevelt, there was the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which ws the first time in international law individual people had human rights... And that world of freedom -- of these four freedoms, that world of Pax Americana over the last 80 years has created a golden age in human history. There's never been a better time to be alive in all of human history that there's been in over these past 80 years. We've seen life expectancy go from 45 years to over 70 years now in the world, we've seen extreme poverty, despite huge explosion of population, plummeting in raw numbers. We've seen more people living under democracy that any time in human history. We've seen more people being literate an being able to read and write. Three times as many people today can do so as a percentage of the population than in the 1940's. Meaning they have more capacity to do and contribute and live out their dreams than any time before. This has been a golden age in human history.

What's important for us is we get this final fuel to go do the work that we need to do for our country and our democracy and for our kids. We have to remind ourselves that that world - this golden age in human history -- was something that WE did. The Democratic Party of the United States did that. We created a golden age in human history. And it's my view that there has never been an organized force that's done more good for more people than the Democratic Party that we're all part of.

One of the reasons I'm so confident that we're going to prevail here in the next 13 days is that when our party was called in the 1940s, we all answered. We rose to the occasion, and we defeated authoritarianism and fascism then. And what Joe Biden began in his State of the Union speech, he was making a new call asking our party to once again answer a all to defeat fascism here and all around the world; to make sure that freedom continued to prevail over dominion.

The reason I end all of this so confident and so optimistic is because all of you have been answer this call. Millions and millions of Americans have been going to work, donating money, writing postcards -- 80 million postcards are in the process of hitting all across the country -- canvasing every day, texting, phone banking, info warring, working your networks with good information. You guys have gone to work, you've answered the call. Millions of you have done this. And the millions of you who have answered this call is more powerful than the dancing dipshits on the other side, right? Let them have Elon Musk and a bunch of these oligarchs. We've got all of you. We're more powerful than they are. And we are doing the work for our democracy...

Do more, worry less...