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Dem4life1970

(585 posts)

40. The new ABC/Ipsos poll acc. to Matt Dowd might calm people's nerves (Lichtman is good enough for me though)

Reply to ColinC (Original post)

Sun Oct 27, 2024, 02:36 PM

Oct 27

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If your gut says Trump will win [View all] ColinC Oct 26 OP

Nate's guts are only feeling one thing: Gaytano70 Oct 26 #1

Im not a Nate Silver hater and feel that the animosity towards him is a kill the messenger type response ColinC Oct 26 #2

Silver isn't a pollster Deminpenn Oct 26 #5

Yeah he uses the same method with polls as baseball. ColinC Oct 26 #7

So, GIGO Deminpenn Oct 26 #8

I imagine there is some value in it. ColinC Oct 26 #9

So if he's right 40% of the time COL Mustard Oct 26 #18

I mean. Same as if he were right 100% of the time ColinC Oct 26 #19

Baseball players and weather forecasters COL Mustard Oct 26 #22

Yep ColinC Oct 26 #28

Goddess knows why our weather guessers, ooops, forecasters, are still employed. niyad Oct 26 #38

He has his plusses Nasruddin Oct 26 #12

We're in a better position than they are. pat_k Oct 26 #32

This message was self-deleted by its author Wiz Imp Oct 26 #34

Anybody whose gut is telling them this needs to get off their ass and GOTV. live love laugh Oct 26 #3

We all can do something. I convinced one of my undecided friends in MI to vote for Harris after him telling me for weeks ColinC Oct 26 #4

I think every vote will count COL Mustard Oct 26 #23

And if you feel the abject and deep pain that is fascist fomented fear applegrove Oct 26 #6

There are a lot of people like that who can be swayed with strong personal connections. ColinC Oct 26 #10

Go Colin! Go Colin! Go Colin! applegrove Oct 26 #11

Thanks Applegrove!! ColinC Oct 26 #16

My gut tells me trump will lose the vote but... S/V Loner Oct 26 #13

The courts won't help him. Elessar Zappa Oct 26 #20

I only hope it doesn't go into Congress COL Mustard Oct 26 #24

Thanks. I thought it was that burrito I ate. surfered Oct 26 #14

Part of my disease profile is IBS, so my gut says rude things to me all the time Warpy Oct 26 #15

Polls are less accurate because AdamGG Oct 26 #17

If your gut says Trump will win, go to urgent care immediately. milestogo Oct 26 #21

So long as I breath I will do what I have to do to see Harris win LostOne4Ever Oct 26 #25

Definitely do not trust Nate Silver Tweedy Oct 26 #26

Try a little Mme. Defarge Oct 26 #27

Nate Silver Metaphorical Oct 26 #29

We're in a better position than they are. Believe it. It's True. pat_k Oct 26 #30

The only thing my gut tells me is that Harris has a better chance than polling would make it seem, but not the... RidinWithHarris Oct 26 #31

I hope everyone is right Ontheboundry Oct 26 #33

All true. ColinC Oct 26 #36

My gut just polished off a pint of Denali Extreme Moose Tracks. Xavier Breath Oct 26 #35

If your gut is sensing an Orange Bastard, maybe it is time for a big b.m. SoFlaBro Oct 26 #37

Two words: Alan Lichtman. That is all. Dem4life1970 Oct 27 #39

The new ABC/Ipsos poll acc. to Matt Dowd might calm people's nerves (Lichtman is good enough for me though) Dem4life1970 Oct 27 #40