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-misanthroptimist

(1,227 posts)

4. Quoting the late, great Groucho Marx:

Reply to WSHazel (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:30 AM

Nov 3

"I told ya that in the first reel." Okay, not the precise odds, but I did say that the polls didn't look right. Very roughly speaking, one in twenty of the polls should produce a result outside the margin of error just by chance. When dozens and dozens or hundreds produce consistent results within the MoE, it's time to start looking at your sampling criteria.

IANA Statistician...but I've been around the block a few times.

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Highlight:

Pollsters are waiving the white flag [View all] WSHazel Nov 3 OP

I think the lesson learned here Sucha NastyWoman Nov 3 #1

the problem is it was not clear this was ever really a close race LymphocyteLover Nov 3 #16

They are only reaching the same kinds of people all the time. Klarkashton Nov 3 #2

That is a very generous interpretation of their actions WSHazel Nov 3 #3

Quoting the late, great Groucho Marx: -misanthroptimist Nov 3 #4

if you look at "ACTUAL" early voting turnout, we are NOT so blind--- Jack Valentino Nov 3 #5

They've been wrong tgraf66 Nov 3 #6

This SHOULD be the final nail in the coffin for the polls ThePartyThatListens Nov 3 #7

Nate Silver is a grifting MAGA loving motherfucker. He can eat fucking shit with his crypto grift fuck shit. SoFlaBro Nov 3 #8

Harris is so far ahead they know they can't tell their masters. mucholderthandirt Nov 3 #9

I don't believe any of them Skittles Nov 3 #10

Me either! OldBaldy1701E Nov 3 #15

Waiving or waving? Easterncedar Nov 3 #11

Here's an interesting site UpInArms Nov 3 #12

Its telling us something. Meaning it is the people being polled who are acting differently. nt BootinUp Nov 3 #13

The polls are statistically valid Deminpenn Nov 3 #14

All gas no brakes. We'll sleep when we are dead. KentuckyWoman Nov 3 #17