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Metaphorical

(2,357 posts)

43. Also take into account third party

Reply to -misanthroptimist (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 05:08 PM

Nov 3

RFK.jr is still on the ballot in several states, and I can definitely see him drawing from Trump even as an ally. I CANNOT see Jill Stein drawing significantly from Kamala. Maybe some of the "hard left" that would probably have voted for Trump anyway (you get hard enough left and you're in Russia, which really aligns more with Trump anyway), and the ones that wouldn't vote for a woman president probably are neither Democrats nor likely to vote for Jill Stein to begin with.

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Final prediction for the Presidential Election [View all] -misanthroptimist Nov 2 OP

No Iowa? lame54 Nov 2 #1

Ba-leeted! Responded to wrong post. Sorry. -misanthroptimist Nov 2 #6

that's my "best case scenario" WarGamer Nov 2 #2

My best case would include IA, FL, KS, and TX -misanthroptimist Nov 2 #9

If Iowa, Florida, Kansas and Texas are that close, don't you think Ohio is too? Jeebo Nov 3 #18

If Iowa and North Carolina then Ohio Metaphorical Nov 3 #42

TX Figarosmom Nov 3 #20

Paxton and Abbott will cheat.... JT45242 Nov 3 #23

And putting Harris County under the control of the Secretary of State! ananda Nov 3 #27

Thats why they are going out Figarosmom Nov 3 #36

Looks reasonable wryter2000 Nov 2 #3

It's realistic. Wednesdays Nov 2 #4

I'm so hoping Florida will vote Blue 💙 Deuxcents Nov 2 #10

It's still worrisome bamagal62 Nov 2 #5

Harris will win brettdale Nov 2 #7

I love it! Miami Blue Nov 2 #8

It's what the polling tells me at this point. -misanthroptimist Nov 2 #11

Bookmarking to check against the final results. How much I hope you're right. nt CaliforniaPeggy Nov 3 #12

Recommended. H2O Man Nov 3 #13

Alaska and Maine 2 displacedvermoter Nov 3 #14

Alaska? iemanja Nov 3 #29

Ok, guess I am worried. displacedvermoter Nov 3 #38

I'm sticking with 284-288, even with IA in the mix. Fiendish Thingy Nov 3 #15

Removed bottomofthehill Nov 3 #41

I hope you're right! yardwork Nov 3 #16

I like the way you think! MyMission Nov 3 #17

I was thinking it might be close in AZ, GA and MI askyagerz Nov 3 #19

I'd like to see a 1972 Figarosmom Nov 3 #21

Hatris sweeps all swing states, AND we may see a surprise or 2 onetexan Nov 3 #22

Feel like it'd be a sad commentary on our electorate BadgerKid Nov 3 #24

Looks reasonable to me Ruby the Liberal Nov 3 #25

My prediction is that the Queen of England will win the election iemanja Nov 3 #26

Why? Elessar Zappa Nov 3 #30

8 point spread? iemanja Nov 3 #31

I'm not sure what the popular vote lead will be. Elessar Zappa Nov 3 #32

I hear she's 6 under at the moment .... OnDoutside Nov 3 #35

Could well be iemanja Nov 3 #37

That's a good prediction, but I hope we have a big surprise thrown in like one of the red states Vinca Nov 3 #28

My prediction Mz Pip Nov 3 #33

I like it. Turbineguy Nov 3 #34

This message was self-deleted by its author Wiz Imp Nov 3 #39

I'm sticking with my sad prediction from yesterday Prairie Gates Nov 3 #40

Also take into account third party Metaphorical Nov 3 #43