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republianmushroom

(18,258 posts)
10. Polls, now guess who wants them close and why.
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 09:11 PM
Nov 3

We ran the numbers. Even if all 7 swing states are actually tied, there's only a ~1 in 9.5 trillion chance~ that so many polls would show such a close race.


Other than Selzer, and a handful of state focused pollsters, the polling services have given up on this election. They are not even trying anymore. When someone like Nate Silver, who has his own credibility problems, calls out an entire industry for making up their results, you know there is a problem.

These are not really even polls anymore, and they are not even guesses of what will happen. These "polls" are just someone aligning their results to match everyone else's results.

Other than Selzer and a few of those local organizations, we are flying blind heading into Tuesday.

Open the links at these 2 addresses.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219645529


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