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TwilightZone

(28,834 posts)
6. I'm in TX and I think it's unlikely.
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 11:26 AM
Nov 4

Undecideds and late voters usually seem to break R here, and the races often end up not as close as they would appear. Polls have a hard time dealing with our weird long-term turnout issues, which are a product of decades of GOP efforts to reduce turnout. I'd obviously be thrilled if we broke the pattern this cycle. We've certainly been trying.

If Florida is going to break D in the Senate race, it would almost certainly be because of the past two weeks in the Trump campaign and not whether or not a Harris surrogate made an appearance before election day. But a huge chunk of voters already voted. Their early-voting numbers are insane, and the Rs have a one-million vote margin in early voting.

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