General Discussion

Jerry2144

(2,633 posts)

8. When I compare the two campaigns

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Mon Nov 4, 2024, 12:18 PM

Nov 4

It seems that the Feeling has done nothing and offers nothing to encourage people who haven’t voted for him to vote for him now. And he has convinced almost 0 Harris voters to vote for him. He might have only gained enough votes to fill a small basketball arena in the whole country.

VPOTUS Harris, on the other hand, has likely convinced 100s of time more voters to vote for her, that were on the fence about whether to vote or vote for her, as well as several of his former supporters. She has done more to encourage people about why they should vote for her than he has to convince pale to vote for him.

I’d be surprised if he gets as many votes as he did in 2020. I expect Harris will exceed Biden’s totals or at least come close to his numbers

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*****BREAKING A RATED MARIST POLL***** Harris 51% TFG 47% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Nov 4 OP

but, but the nbc poll........... JohnSJ Nov 4 #1

No way in hell Trump gets 49+ JCMach1 Nov 4 #44

Especially seeing it is a national poll, and the whole West Coast along with NY and most of the North East would JohnSJ Nov 4 #45

The NBC poll is of registered voters senseandsensibility Nov 4 #65

They're just taking out the trash. dchill Nov 4 #68

Thanks for the information, I didn't realize that. JohnSJ Nov 4 #70

She is going to stomp him! North Shore Chicago Nov 4 #2

Absolutely! ShazzieB Nov 4 #59

That orange motherf*cker awesomerwb1 Nov 4 #3

This all day! Dem4life1234 Nov 4 #54

Any insurrectionist should be at 0%. Dark n Stormy Knight Nov 5 #79

Let's go!!! nt LexVegas Nov 4 #4

It's a good poll, but it's NATIONAL. What about in the swing states? Are there polls there as well? nt Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Nov 4 #5

A four point national lead is very likely to lead to an Electoral College win. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 4 #7

But isn't it within the MOE? Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Nov 4 #11

You don't need to repeat... littlemissmartypants Nov 4 #26

This message was self-deleted by its author pnwmom Nov 4 #60

Biden ended up with a 4.5% lead in the 2020 election. n/t whopis01 Nov 4 #63

Marist did swing state polls Deminpenn Nov 4 #49

Marist did swing state polls Deminpenn Nov 4 #50

Steve K. will be right on top of this! Zambero Nov 4 #6

He will be shocked! Stunned! As the results roll in! getagrip_already Nov 4 #19

And the ONLY reason the corporate pollsters and media are "expecting" it at this late date Rocknation Nov 4 #24

Of "registered" voters senseandsensibility Nov 4 #66

When I compare the two campaigns Jerry2144 Nov 4 #8

+1 oasis Nov 4 #13

Oh, there's no doubt she will exceed them. She has got tons of repubs and independent voters added to her Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Nov 4 #15

I've noticed, too NJCher Nov 4 #46

That pretty much sums up my gut feel BlueState Nov 4 #17

Finally a pollster that has the balls not to herd. nt Quixote1818 Nov 4 #9

They will all come to reality for their final polls... getagrip_already Nov 4 #20

This is where I think it'll end up in the popular vote. Self Esteem Nov 4 #10

I think more like 53-45 Johnny2X2X Nov 4 #14

Doubtful. Harris isn't winning by a larger margin than Obama in 2008. Self Esteem Nov 4 #27

stop adding realism to this thread! 😎 NoRethugFriends Nov 4 #32

Agree, i can't see how he is polling what he is debm55 Nov 4 #31

Turnout may still break records, but early voting numbers are partly due to an R strategic shift. TwilightZone Nov 4 #38

Nice SouthernCal_Dem Nov 4 #12

I participated in this poll OneBlueDotS-Carolina Nov 4 #16

Graphics Dennis Donovan Nov 4 #18

Run full out through the tape! TheKentuckian Nov 4 #21

From my perusal of past election results anamnua Nov 4 #22

And that could be 51.4% vs 46.6%, for an actual margin of 4.8% (ie, 5%). TheRickles Nov 4 #23

Click on the link. The details are a bit more sobering. nt LAS14 Nov 4 #25

What are some of the sobering points at the link, in your view? Prairie Gates Nov 4 #29

Sobering bits. LAS14 Nov 4 #33

Thanks for posting those rather than just referring people to the link Prairie Gates Nov 4 #35

based on the large margins i've seen many places for Harris among early voters... jcgoldie Nov 4 #37

And many of those "not yet voted" Zambero Nov 4 #43

I agree kansasobama Nov 4 #48

In context of previous elections, these aren't good indicators for Trump. yardwork Nov 4 #71

No thanks. I don't need more sobering right now. Got enough of that in me already. I'm going with KPN Nov 4 #34

Agree BannonsLiver Nov 4 #41

How can Trump be getting 47%? Thrill Nov 4 #28

Well, they are idiots first... The Madcap Nov 4 #47

That's all he ever gets, no more than that. Klarkashton Nov 4 #61

I'm sensing a LANDSLIDE Emile Nov 4 #30

Trump still has a 47% ceiling askyagerz Nov 4 #36

That's mostly a myth. TwilightZone Nov 4 #56

His actual national votes have never broken 47% askyagerz Nov 4 #62

Stop the National Polls DownriverDem Nov 4 #39

The larger the popular vote lead the less likely it is to diverge from the Electoral College DemocratSinceBirth Nov 4 #40

I like reading them. BannonsLiver Nov 4 #52

How about you just not open the thread rather than trying to dictate what DUers can read? iemanja Nov 4 #53

I know a candidate who wants to dictate what we can day and resd. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 4 #77

Who's going to believe a Marxist poll? usonian Nov 4 #42

Yeah, sure, but what does Harpo say? Hmm? 😏 dchill Nov 4 #69

Not a word! I posted this in response to the fabulous Kamalas mirror scene. usonian Nov 4 #72

Understood. 👍 dchill Nov 4 #73

47%? Tiny fingers still can't get it up. /nt bucolic_frolic Nov 4 #51

STOP it already! James48 Nov 4 #55

"What's wrong with these people?" J_William_Ryan Nov 4 #57

This message was self-deleted by its author pnwmom Nov 4 #58

I'm betting 55% for VP Harris and 44% convicted felon 1% Jill Stein/ other kimbutgar Nov 4 #64

I love reading this! Thank you! liberalla Nov 4 #67

I keep on telling people it's going PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 4 #74

435 theplayer Nov 4 #75

shithole is not getting 47%........................... Lovie777 Nov 4 #76

K & R Emile Nov 4 #78