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Prairie Gates

(4,135 posts)
1. Let's review
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 08:08 PM
Nov 2024

Here are the four possible scenarios that could possibly be supported by the facts:

1) Hegseth gets drunk and hooks up with random woman at the convention for Republican women. She is his minder, and has consensual sex with him. He does not know that she is married and has two small children who are staying in the same hotel. It was h3er job to bring him back to his room, and she opts for a little sexy time. So, uber Christian Hegseth just has sex with a stranger in a hotel.

2) All of scenario 1), but Hegseth knows that she is married and has two small children staying at the hotel. The uber Christian has sex with a married woman, randomly, as a one-night stand hook-up. Very Christlike, this.

3) The woman is herself drunk, and takes Hegseth back to his room (this is actually not supported by the facts revealed in the WP article, which doesn't mention that she was drinking). She is completely inebriated, Hegseth "has sex" with her (unconsensual - you know the word). She realizes it the next days and goes to the emergency room for a rape kit.

4) Hegseth roofies the woman and rapes her.

Each of these is a possible scenario explaining what happened at the Hyatt Regency. But what is plausible?

Is it plausible that this woman decided to have a one-time hook-up with her drunk famous charge with her husband and small children staying at the same hotel?

Is it plausible that she is incapacitated for several hours and has to stumble back to her room from booze alone? Or from no booze, since it doesn't report any.

Is it plausible that she would have a memory deficit and only flashes on to the "sex"/rape the following day?

Is it plausible that upon remembering the "sex"/rape, she would immdiately go to a hospital emergency room and ask for a rape kit if she engaged in consensual sex with this guy?

Is it plausible that semen would be found in the rape kit, and she would be sure it wasn't from her husband (they were in a room with their two young kids)

Is it plausible that Hegseth would admit that he had sex with her and pay her a settlement if he wasn't absolutely sure that the semen found in the rape kit would be his?

The plausibility test certainly leans more towards scenarios 3 and 4. I would say that her decision to immediately go to an emergency room and seek a rape kit leans it way, way, way toward scenario 4.

I'll just add this: if we are in a scenario 4 situation, it's not the sort of thing that somebody does just once. Wait for the additional reports to start coming out over the next several weeks, I'd say, if they're not already spilling into Ronan Farrow's inbox.

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