It's Not the Economy, Stupid

[FBaggins]

1. It almost certainly was

This argument’s enduring longevity (we’ve been hearing it since the day after the 2016 election) is perplexing because it is so easy to disprove. Black voters, particularly Black women, showed up in force for Harris

If that's the proof... it's not very convincing. According to the exit polls, Black voters made up a slightly smaller percentage (11% vs 13%) of a slightly smaller voting population (151.5 vs 155.5 mil) and were slightly less likely to vote for Harris (86%) than Biden (87%).

And the underlying thesis isn't particularly strong. Black women are the baseline and obviously don't vote based on race and gender... so any other demographic that doesn't support Harris must therefore be voting on the basis of race and gender? So there can't be any Black women who, as an example, were discouraged from supporting the party due to the poor economic performance but voted for Harris because she was a Black woman?

By comparison - people saying that the economy was poor rose significantly (from 18% to 33%) - and they went overwhelmingly (88-10) against Harris.