Voter registration is spiking, particularly among young adults

[moniss]

9. Yes to an extent some are trying to account for the new voters a

little but so many pollsters still define "likely voters" as those who have voted previously. Those are the ones they put on the contact list. It's why their polling has been so wrong so many times lately. Combined with their insistence over the years about using landline phone numbers they were polling for the 1950's society which was a more predictable and stable scenario than today.

They also have no way of accounting for the people who hang up on them from the get go. Those may be Dems or GQP but the prevalence of hang-ups should be telling them something. That something is that just because you can find 100 people out of 1000 who are willing to talk to you doesn't mean you can extrapolate that with accuracy to the other 900. I hang up on all pollsters and I'm sure some are Dem party pollsters. I don't believe in election polling as being a good thing for society. People should make up their own minds without the possible influence of "going with the crowd". Nobody should doubt that it plays a role. That influence factor is well known in social research circles and it forms one of the pillars of advertising and sales. There is no reason to think it stops working just because it's candidates rather than cologne or insurance policies.