What chance do we have, when all around us infection soar?

[progree]

3. Not much. Minnesota now #12 in daily new cases per capita, our 4 U.S. neighbors are 1,2,3,5

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
Daily new cases
Ranking, Name, 7 day moving average,
per 100,000 people, per day

#1 NoDak   137
#2 SoDak   131
#3 Wisconsin   80
#4 Montana   75
#5 Iowa   67
...
#12 Minnesota   43

I've been watching this list for months -- For weeks, Minnesota has been between #16 and #20. Even as its cases soar soar soar, it didn't change its ranking because the top third or so of states were soaring just as fast. But lately we've been soaring a little faster, apparently.

Yes, some states test more than others, and differ in positivity rates too. Thus ranking states by their reported cases (per capita or not) is unfair. A list like the above is just a starting point. It is what it is. If there is a website that tries to adjust a list like the above for these factors, please let me know.

Positivity rates and testing rates are compared here:

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/tracker/overview

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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/minnesota-coronavirus-cases.html
MN 14 day trend (7 day moving average Nov. 1 vs. 7 day moving average 14 days before)
Cases: +60%
Deaths: +37%
Hospitalized: +52%

While the number of reported cases can be partly blamed on more testing, hospitalizations have been growing just about as fast. Below is Covid patients in hospitals each day:

588   May 31 -- pandemic peak for this metric, until late October
241   Sep 19 -- post-peak low point
719   Nov 1 -- latest, 3.0 times the Sept 19 level

==#########################################==

MPR's report for today is well worth at least looking at the graphs, updated 230 PM 11/2/20
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/11/02/latest-on-covid19-in-mn

I pasted a couple of the many graphs below.

2,954 new cases were reported today, above the 2,500 or so  7-day-moving-average, so that will push the moving average up some more as earlier days drop out of the 7-day span.

BELOW UPDATED 1140 AM 11/3/20

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/11/03/latest-on-covid19-in-mn

3,483 new cases. Hospitalizations now 852 (197 in ICU's). Doesn't say what new hospital admissions are (which is what the 2nd graph below is about)

BELOW UPDATED 1140 AM 11/3/20


BELOW UPDATED 1140 AM 11/3/20