Minnesota

progree

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4. Our total cumulative cases is 2,725 per 100,000 (2.7%). 37 of these drops fills the bucket

Reply to question everything (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:54 PM

Nov 2020

Last edited Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:41 AM - Edit history (2)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/minnesota-coronavirus-cases.html

And at the current rate of 43 new cases per day per 100,000, it takes about 23 days to add another percentage point.

3 months of this at the above rate would add another 3.9 percentage points.

Edited to add: some of our state health officials have been quoted as saying the number of cases out there is probably 5 to 10 times the number of confirmed cases in the statistics. If true, so instead of 2.7% having or having had Covid, it's more like 14% to 27%. Instead of a drop in the bucket, it's more like marbles in a cup.

And instead of adding 3.9 percentage points in the next 3 months (assuming the current rate miraculously holds), think adding 20 to 39 percentage points

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What chance do we have, when all around us infection soar? [View all] question everything Nov 2020 OP

I don't know. murielm99 Nov 2020 #1

Wear a mask, social distance, sanitize MyMission Nov 2020 #2

Not much. Minnesota now #12 in daily new cases per capita, our 4 U.S. neighbors are 1,2,3,5 progree Nov 2020 #3

Almost looks like we are on a third wave question everything Nov 2020 #5

Looking at the daily new cases, looks like two gentle foothills leading up to a mighty mountain progree Nov 2020 #6

Our total cumulative cases is 2,725 per 100,000 (2.7%). 37 of these drops fills the bucket progree Nov 2020 #4

3,483 new cases today, far far above the approx 2,600 7-day-average we saw yesterday progree Nov 2020 #7

I updated the graphs in post #3 (clink the lick in the message below). Added a graph progree Nov 2020 #8