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Polybius

(17,806 posts)

29. GA, MI, NV, & maybe PA or WI

Reply to ancianita (Reply #13)

Mon Apr 29, 2024, 01:33 AM

Apr 2024

That would do it, although I don't think (at this point) Trump will win. But he has a path.

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(A PREDICTION): If Donald Trump is the nominee, he will get no more than 35 percent of the vote. [View all] Stuart G Apr 2024 OP

"IF". And his replacement, Mitt Romeny will do no better. marble falls Apr 2024 #1

Mitt will never again be nominee Wednesdays Apr 2024 #38

The MAGAts are in their descendancy. Mitt is as close to a viable "moderate" candidate as it gets in the GOP ... marble falls Apr 2024 #44

You have more faith in the American people than I do. RandySF Apr 2024 #2

You don't have faith that the 7,000,000 more who voted for Biden will show up? Or believe that youth and women in ancianita Apr 2024 #14

I keep hearing that young men Tree Lady Apr 2024 #16

I don't think it's just about sex. RandySF Apr 2024 #17

I agree, I am closer to the older one Tree Lady Apr 2024 #19

There are jobs out there. Unemployment is at a 50-year low... brush Apr 2024 #31

I have an 18 year old son Ontheboundry Apr 2024 #30

More pedestrian than that. TSF has more entertainment value. no_hypocrisy Apr 2024 #33

In a normal/just world, maybe. Too much can happen before election for my confidence. Silent Type Apr 2024 #3

Yup, he's done. Not gone yet, but done. Joinfortmill Apr 2024 #4

RSO rso Apr 2024 #5

I don't share your optimism. Repubs are supercharged to vote for him. Most of the Haley voters will vote R. LonePirate Apr 2024 #6

This far out, unless you link something, I'm not buying it at all. That's corporate polling hype to spread FUD. ancianita Apr 2024 #11

been "mostly" black most of my life and I know ALL KINDS of people from the diaspora, LATINOS & Asians... The_REAL_Ecumenist Apr 2024 #24

"IF" What have I missed, is there another nominee? I hope you are right but 35% of the doc03 Apr 2024 #7

I must respectfully disagree. There is a very good chance trump could win. HUAJIAO Apr 2024 #8

Respectfully disagree with your disagreement. Go ahead. Make your case. Link your sources. Show us his path to electoral ancianita Apr 2024 #12

Well, Stuart G didn't provide any links, sources, which is fine. HUAJIAO Apr 2024 #20

Okay, fine. But I've posted voting numbers with links. So I go with his claim because the numbers support his claim. ancianita Apr 2024 #21

There's the raw truth... rubbersole Apr 2024 #23

Works for ME, Stuart! ancianita Apr 2024 #9

Only about 11 points off n/t Polybius Apr 2024 #28

You're right, however, It's not the popular vote that determines the winner, it's the electoral college. W T F Apr 2024 #10

So what's tsf's electoral path to victory? Pray tell. ancianita Apr 2024 #13

GA, MI, NV, & maybe PA or WI Polybius Apr 2024 #29

there's no way he takes mi. mopinko Apr 2024 #34

I'm just pointing out the path Polybius Apr 2024 #42

More like 43-46% though that depends on how many Trump cultists show up to actually vote. cstanleytech Apr 2024 #15

I agree, but ... CloudWatcher Apr 2024 #18

Do you really think they can even successfully march on DC at the end of this year? Really? ancianita Apr 2024 #26

holding the wh and taking it back- 2 very, very different things. mopinko Apr 2024 #35

Coup no2 would be an utter failure. drray23 Apr 2024 #37

From your lips to God's ears. nt SunSeeker Apr 2024 #22

Well, judging by the world today Pototan Apr 2024 #25

LOL Yup. nt SunSeeker Apr 2024 #45

Lol 35%? Polybius Apr 2024 #27

I agree Ontheboundry Apr 2024 #39

It's all about turnout and intensity on the margins. Who can fire-up more voters? Doodley Apr 2024 #32

40% is absolute tops. mopinko Apr 2024 #36

Only way Trump gets 30-35 is if Biden gets 35-40 Polybius Apr 2024 #43

Let this be a lesson for 2028 Polybius Saturday #47

I like your prediction, but will it matter if he starts a civil war? lark Apr 2024 #40

I hope that you are right but we still need to work on GOTV for President Biden LetMyPeopleVote Apr 2024 #41

I will hold to this prediction...Trump doesn't have a chance in hell. NOW HE IS A "CONVICTED FELON." Stuart G Jun 2024 #46