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leveymg

(36,418 posts)
2. That's my understanding. Syria will be carved up into a Big Beirut.
Fri Mar 22, 2013, 04:48 AM
Mar 2013

Last edited Fri Mar 22, 2013, 06:23 AM - Edit history (1)

The most likely outcome appears to be Balkanization, or perhaps more accurately, one Big Beirut.

Here's what it's likely to look like: the "moderate" western-approved FSA will essentially serve as a militia and border police for the Israelis and Jordanians, like the Druze and South Lebanon Army factions. Meanwhile, the Saudi-backed Sunnis can be expected to continue to occupy much of the northern and eastern border areas along Turkey and as a "buffer" with Iraq. The Alawite may remain in much of what's left of Damascus and area north bordering Beirut and their historical enclaves along the coast. Expect sporatic flair-ups of fighting and civil war among and within these factions, along with a shit load of terrorism, for the next few decades.

That appears to be the end-game for Free Syria that's been created.

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