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NNadir

(34,991 posts)
18. Oh please...
Tue Dec 12, 2023, 11:14 PM
Dec 2023

Anyone referring to 2050 has no fucking better idea of the future than anyone else engaged in soothsaying.

I happen to know that it's 2023 thank you. I'm a grown up. As a grown up, and old man in fact, I happen to have been hearing predictions about the 2020's back in 1980, and before that in 1970. I take that realization as a QED on how useful vague "they'll figure it out" mindless crap. I've been listening to soothsaying for 50 years, including for the majority of that time, soothsaying about hydrogen.

It's always "by 1990" until 1990 comes, and then its "by 2000" until 2000 comes, and then its "by 2010" until 2010 comes...

...ad nauseum.

I was once so poorly educated I actually took this hydrogen shit seriously. In 1980 I was a gullible fool mostly because I didn't know shit from shinola about the topic and I had only a vague and rather insipid notion of thermodynamics. I would submit anyone predicting a grand future for this line of crap about hydrogen is either a gullible fool, a fossil fuel salesperson, or a sales bot run by a fossil fuel salesperson.

As for marketing, and this rather silly claim about "free speech," one can object to marketing, say, cigarettes, guns, and gasoline, and for that matter fossil fuels by greenwashing them as hydrogen. I object to the marketing of all of these. It's not about "free speech." It's about decency.

If I object to the marketing of Naziism, this doesn't make me a communist, although I am amused at this late age to be called a communist. It's been a long time since that happened, at DU no less.

The OP here was about numbers, not hair splitting rhetoric, or for that matter about "choirs." The numbers are clear, including the physical properties of hydrogen. There is no rational reason, none, to market hydrogen, based on its physical properties and its material incompatibility, all of which are easily measurable, well known, facts.

Facts exist and facts matter.

Somehow a round of soothsaying about fucking 2050 entered into the conversation with complete disregard for the numbers in the OP, with a vague ill informed "it has to happen" because, well, it's just so cool and magical people will magically discover how to make it workable "by 2050."

I invite anyone interested in how fucking stupid and inane soothsaying is to read any of the "genius" "futurist" Amory Lovins, who was pushing hydrogen in the 20th century, and the fact that marketing his soothsaying "ideas" has left the planet in flames.

In 2000, Vaclav Smil mocked the shit out of Lovins, specifically referring to his hydrogen nirvana:



Rocky Mountain Visions V. Smil Population and Development Review Volume 26, Issue1, March 2000, Pages 163-187.

The distance between March 2000 and December of 2023 is not hugely shorter than the distance between December of 2023 and March of 2050. A "hydrogen economy" was bullshit in 1980, bullshit in 2000, bullshit in 2020 and in 2023, and it will remain bullshit in 2050.

The reason is physics and nothing else.

Got it? No? Well that's not my problem.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Kickin' Faux pas Jul 2023 #1
Hydrogen is made from ANY source of energy... Think. Again. Jul 2023 #2
Your title is a lie, according to Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm Caribbeans Jul 2023 #3
No, my title is a true statement with references to the primary scientific literature, numbers... NNadir Jul 2023 #4
Not exactly... Think. Again. Jul 2023 #5
Present day production is not the same as 2050 production Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #9
The confusion of soothsaying with reality is why we're in this horrible mess. NNadir Dec 2023 #10
Because of issues like which infrastructure and consumer preferences, Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #11
It is obscene to make hydrogen for fuel purposes when fossil fuels dominate the energy supply. NNadir Dec 2023 #12
If we don't start finding out now what infrastructure works Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #13
Um, the Journal of Hydrogen Energy has been in continuous print since 1976, almost half a century. NNadir Dec 2023 #14
Yes, one can see problems, but nobody knows what choices will be chosen Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #15
It's a very poor analogy that stuff about Meta etc. NNadir Dec 2023 #16
You are very wrong to twist my words Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #17
Oh please... NNadir Dec 2023 #18
Nice strawman you got there. Nobody called you a communist Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2023 #19
Updated to include link to the first referenced paper, and to make a minor cosmetic change. NNadir Jul 2023 #6
The intent of this post is to mislead... Think. Again. Jul 2023 #7
Another pretty chart... Think. Again. Jul 2023 #8
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