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NickB79

(19,663 posts)
8. The last time we had this much GHG in the atmosphere, seas were 50' higher
Mon Dec 25, 2023, 09:30 AM
Dec 2023

And trees grew in Antarctica and the Arctic (14 million years ago)

Paleoclimate evidence shows this will happen again. There's a lag time between carbon emissions and temperature increases, the same way you don't instantly hit 60 mph when you stomp the gas pedal. The atmosphere is still shifting gears, the rpm's still climbing.

Even if all human carbon emissions stopped tomorrow (they won't), the positive feedbacks from burning forests and thawing permafrost would keep GHG levels rising for the remainder of the 21st century. Just one example: we've likely passed the tipping point that keeps the Amazon wet enough to survive. If we have, it means most of the Amazon will dry up, die and burn into grasslands by 2100, venting billions of tons of carbon. Now look at what happened in Canada's forests last summer, or Siberian forests in previous years.

Left to it's own devices, it would take Nature 100,000 yr or more to sequester enough carbon to return us to preindustrial levels, based on paleoclimate data from previous carbon spikes like the PETM.

Only a few decades of additional warming locked in is utter magical thinking.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Probably... 2naSalit Dec 2023 #1
Probably because of one of two things: Brenda Dec 2023 #2
You might be closer than you know SarahD Dec 2023 #4
I'm not worried SarahD Dec 2023 #3
Thank you for posting this... Think. Again. Dec 2023 #5
Yes, I didn't mean to imply "all humans." Brenda Dec 2023 #6
You're spot on.... Think. Again. Dec 2023 #7
The last time we had this much GHG in the atmosphere, seas were 50' higher NickB79 Dec 2023 #8
Magical thinking Delphinus Dec 2023 #9
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