Environment & Energy

CRH

(1,553 posts)

7. I think it could go below 1.5 million sq/km ...

Fri Jan 11, 2013, 10:33 AM

Jan 2013

last year it bottomed at 3.41 km/sq. But my prediction would be higher in the 2 to 2.25 range.

If it goes below 2 million km/sq then to my mind the certainty is accented that the of the worst scenarios of runaway warming are well advanced. Which translates to not much time before the escalation to 4*C then 6*C by end of century.

My log on screen will be changed to the PIOMASS site at the equinox with the first days of 24 hour sun. By July/August the ice volumes k/m3 will tell us more of the story than the extent.

I hope for the best, but am tempered by probabilities.

I think 2014 - 2015 are the years most likely the planet breaches the 1 million k/m/sq.

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Time to go on the record: Is this going to be the year? [View all] XemaSab Jan 2013 OP

I vote no, but it will go lower than 2012 and get pants-shittingly close. Systematic Chaos Jan 2013 #1

I had doubts last year it would go as low as it did. joshcryer Jan 2013 #2

interesting, we're exceeding 4/5 'yes' votes phantom power Jan 2013 #3

And here I thought I was a doomer! GliderGuider Jan 2013 #4

^ What he said. nt Dead_Parrot Jan 2013 #12

It is going to be a jaw dropping summer OakCliffDem Jan 2013 #5

Since it's happened before without man's influence, no. n/t OnlinePoker Jan 2013 #6

I think it could go below 1.5 million sq/km ... CRH Jan 2013 #7

3.41m sq.km was the min. extent in 2012; I think most people are talking area muriel_volestrangler Jan 2013 #8

Agreed, I think between 2.25 and 2 million sq/km ... CRH Jan 2013 #9

I agree volume is important muriel_volestrangler Jan 2013 #10

Thank you for your input, added perspective, ... CRH Jan 2013 #11