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303squadron

(735 posts)
6. Many can produce in their 30's, more don't
Thu Dec 28, 2023, 11:11 AM
Dec 2023

I don't think I would compare any pitcher to Ryan who is a statistical abberation. I mean, on one side of the bell curve there is Ryan, and on the other side of the bell curve are the hundreds of talented pitchers who never again regained their form in their 30's after an arm injury.

Oh, don't get me wrong here. I think Ohtani is a tremendous talent, no doubt about it. And from a purely business decision I think the Dodgers will do well in marketing and TV rights. But from a baseball point of view it is highly unlikely that he will ever again produce the 10.05 WAR that he produced 2023.

Will the Dodgers off season signings equate to winning the World Serious? That would be saying that you take them over the rest of the field. With the vagaries of the season and the playoffs I'll take the rest of the field. Plus, they still have to overcome the negative WAR of Dave Roberts - that alone may be insurmountable!

Yours truly,

Buzz Capra

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