2016 Postmortem

regnaD kciN

(26,645 posts)

10. Don't count on "by 10:00 P.M. Eastern" unless it's a real blowout…

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 04:18 PM

Nov 2016

While your electoral math is correct, many large, crucial eastern states take a long time to deliver final results, especially in close races. If the vote is tight enough, I could easily see FL, NC, and even PA not being called until after the west coast has reported. Also, keep in mind that crucial swing states include CO (Mountain Time) and Nevada, where polls close at the same time as the west coast.

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Hillary's magic EV number is 195. [View all] 4lbs Nov 2016 OP

We have one nut I think in Washington that says he won't vote for her doc03 Nov 2016 #2

Yeah, that's why I added in a 3 EV cushion, for those idiots. nt 4lbs Nov 2016 #3

I kind of guessed that nt doc03 Nov 2016 #6

She starts with 97 immediately and without question Democrats Ascendant Nov 2016 #7

California, Washington, Oregon, and Hawaii is 99.9999999999999% MyNameIsKhan Nov 2016 #8

LOL. I wanted to give orange twit a 0.5% chance. nt 4lbs Nov 2016 #9

Don't count on "by 10:00 P.M. Eastern" unless it's a real blowout… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #10

True. However, in 2012, many of the states' results were in by 10:00pm Eastern and I did the math 4lbs Nov 2016 #11

except that for states with early voting..... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #12

dKos at 319-219 now, 90% probability Hillary wins. Coyotl Nov 2016 #13

How interesting. A family member predicted over AmericanActivist Nov 2016 #14

Dec 1969 #