Well DU has become almost impossible

[nadinbrzezinski]

49. History has definite echoes

and we are just living through them right now.

It is not what I believe, once again. It is what now a few more are actually writing in places like Salon, The New York News and Politics, Foreign Policy, which has had extensive writings on the end of Empire, and other places like Journal of Political Science. and saying this in places like oh the evening news. I just wrote a lot of this earlier than most, and people make fun of me, relentlessly. I am just tired of the bullies ok. As in extremely tired of them. As in they can... (fill in the blank)

These things are slow in the beginning. There are many points where a crisis, a real crisis, can be averted.

So I will repeat, I do analysis for a living now. It goes from my local city messes. (which are kind of cute compared to the Federal messes, though can be intense), all the way to the federal level and a few others. That is what I do.

The crisis TONIGHT, (the worst of it) seems to be averted. But that does not mean history does not have echoes, or cycles.

And I will no longer post this here on DU. Like Fukushima, what I said back then is starting to hit the MSM as if it was gospel, see Tuna with actually detectable levels of radiation off the California coast... it is bioconcentration and it was predictable.

At this point I will only chortle, and try not to snort too hard as the MSM catches up. I was trained in history, with a good dosing of political science. I was heavily influenced by Deconstruction, and the Michelle Foucault school, as well as Derrida, with a good reading as well of the Longe Duree, all that at an American University. I know, I know, but Latin American historians tend to read those pesky French (and british) historians far more.

So I was trained to look for those patterns. I am also a fan of Santayana, and ironically now mathematicians are getting into the game of predicting periods of strife. They are finding that those of us who use Cycle analysis, are onto something, and we are entering a period of strife. They even have a mathematical formula and everything.

This is a very simplistic intro to what mathematics is starting to do with this.

http://www.nature.com/news/human-cycles-history-as-science-1.11078

I just find it starkingly funny. I also expect this particular cycle to accelerate as resources go down due to climate change, but hell, I will watch this site become a news aggregator. It will be fun actually.