5 reasons why Elizabeth Warren has the best chance to beat Donald Trump [View all]

[BlueMTexpat]

There is some interesting anaylsis of the 2016 election here. Per the author, that works in Elizabeth's favor.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2019/09/25/5-reasons-warren-best-chance-beat-trump-column/2419281001/

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The Trump victory didn’t result mainly from a mass exodus of blue-collar Democratic voters to the Republican candidate.

It’s true that 9.8% of voters changed their votes from 2012 to 2016. But only 3.6% of voters moved from President Barack Obama to Trump. More than half of these were offset by the 1.9% who switched from Mitch Romney to Hillary Clinton — leaving a net loss of only 1.7%.

The lion’s share of vote-changers were the 4.3% of the voters who moved from Obama in 2012 to a third-party candidate or to not voting for any presidential candidate in 2016.

Of course, much of the net loss of vote-changers was concentrated in critical electoral states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

The loss of white working-class voters to Trump was definitely a component of Clinton’s defeat. But a greater component was that so many former Obama voters elected not to vote at all or vote for a third-party candidate.
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It's a good read.