Update on study of secondary choices for president

[Bucky]

2. New Numbers

It's now at 87 instead of 49 survey respondents. I'm going to wait till the morning to run the numbers one final time, after a few more people post their opinions

Overall responses still match up DU preferences. I'm just using that for control of the sampling. DU isn't representative of the full Democratic Party so I'm more interested in second and third place choices.

But for top choice, it's Warren 33%, Biden 30%, Sanders 21%, Buttigieg 8%. If you look at the forum's preferences and exclude undecideds, the shares are Warren 36%, Biden 25%, Sanders 22%, Buttigieg 8%. So these responses are a good representation for DU overall.

Warren is 42% of 2nd place choices, leading among Sanders, Biden, and "other" supporters (in fact 17 of 18 Sanders voters named Warren as their top back up). She's mentioned by 79 of the 87 respondents so far (91%), inclusive of those who didn't name a 2nd choice.

I don't expect the numbers to change much after this. Warren is uniquely positioned to unify the party, including holding onto the Sanders base.