It appears that the new artillery is working:

[paleotn]

14. The run up to May 9....

Russia's Thanksgiving and July 4th rolled into one, is a dangerous time. What will Putin do as the facade becomes thinner and more frayed? There's got to be chatter within the populace as more kids come home in boxes or simply disappear, left to rot on some battlefield. That's tough to control even in a totalitarian state. Particularly in the cities where Russians are far more familiar with the world beyond their borders than in the far flung villages.

Then again, every moment of this is dangerous in its own right.