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geo1

(81 posts)
18. What strikes me is Harris polling above 50% and the low percentage undecided voters
Thu Aug 8, 2024, 06:10 AM
Aug 2024

Hard as it is for us political news junkies to believe, there are a lot of folks out there who don't pay that much attention to the news or the issues and decide whether to vote and who to vote for the last minute. And those folks want to "like" the candidate they are voting for, as if it was a high school popularity contest. I was all in for HIllary when she ran - phone banked as well as donated - so I remember well the major problem a lot of folks had with her is that they didn't "like" her. Lots of folks sitting on the fence going down to the wire, and they swung to Trump when the Comey thing hit the fan. Kamala and Tim have the "likeablity" thing going on. They also have (so far, knock on wood) the Democratic Party united behind them. Things are looking very good, sleeping a lot better at night, but sure can't get complacent. Hoping all are thinking about ways we can get out there and do our part to keep this trend going to the finish line.

Edited to add national average leading up to 2016 and 2020 elections:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/national/

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Holy shit. Where can I donate to RFK Jr and his brain worm campaign? BannonsLiver Aug 2024 #1
He's accepting all animals, dead or alive newdeal2 Aug 2024 #25
The gold standard in Wi. RandySF Aug 2024 #2
Note The Worm-Brained Dog-Muncher Takes Two Votes From Trump For Each One Lost To Ms. Harris The Magistrate Aug 2024 #3
This message was self-deleted by its author unblock Aug 2024 #5
"Worm-Brained Dog-Muncher" Beetwasher. Aug 2024 #7
Worm-Brained, Dog-Munching, Ursine Corpse Abuser LudwigPastorius Aug 2024 #13
Remember when some big conservative $$$$... Grins Aug 2024 #4
Yep Cosmocat Aug 2024 #17
How big was this poll? CTyankee Aug 2024 #6
not exactly Bucky Aug 2024 #8
Exactly Doc Sportello Aug 2024 #38
683 likely voters, moe +/-4.7% unblock Aug 2024 #9
Actually the topline numbers from the X post are registered voters. The 683 was likely voters Bucky Aug 2024 #11
Yes but the results in the o.p. were likely voters. unblock Aug 2024 #37
Interesting and hopeful! CTyankee Aug 2024 #39
Optimism, and exuberance, is very helpful in a political campaign. Even if it's "irrational". unblock Aug 2024 #41
Link to Marquette press release: unblock Aug 2024 #10
OMG!!! Go Kamala!!!! geojazz Aug 2024 #12
I only pay attention to trend lines Pototan Aug 2024 #14
Awesome! But's let's register new voters in Philly, Detroit, Madison OrlandoDem2 Aug 2024 #15
Im not getting my hopes up because I remember when Hillary was riding high in the polls helpisontheway Aug 2024 #16
What strikes me is Harris polling above 50% and the low percentage undecided voters geo1 Aug 2024 #18
This is what I thought would happen Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #19
As soon as she entered the race and we saw the numbers start to turn like they did, I knew it was going to start looking ColinC Aug 2024 #21
I think she'll be up several points with a month left Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #22
I'm gonna bet on a 64-35 538 polling average by October. ColinC Aug 2024 #23
I love it Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #26
Definitely agree about never seeing the Dems in such array! geo1 Aug 2024 #29
To be fair Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #34
The message of "Plan B" candidate Kamala and her VP pick Tim is what has been the most joyful surprise surprise to me geo1 Aug 2024 #35
Then there are those who want to vote for the winner, be on the winning side like it was a sporting event geo1 Aug 2024 #24
Young people Johnny2X2X Aug 2024 #28
Democrats have been overperforming polls in recent years ColinC Aug 2024 #20
Assuming 170 million votes in this election VMA131Marine Aug 2024 #27
We're winning the popular vote no matter what. BlueTsunami2018 Aug 2024 #30
With the financial and human resources we have, we can run that up 2-3% bucolic_frolic Aug 2024 #31
Who are the idiotic 6 percent who are still BlueKota Aug 2024 #32
He is everywhere putting his name on the ballots. joshcryer Aug 2024 #40
8 point 3 way lead! This is a seismic shift! Doodley Aug 2024 #33
Red Alert at Merde Lad-o! Hide the ketchup bottles!!! NT Happy Hoosier Aug 2024 #36
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