General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: ***POLL**** Marquette National Poll (A+): Harris 53 Trump 47 [View all]Johnny2X2X
(21,881 posts)I don't think that anyone thought the switch would be going this well right now, but I think they had a Plan B that they'd been working for a while behind the scenes. The Plan B was in case Biden had to drop out. The last few weeks before Biden did drop out is when I think they spent a significant amount of money and time researching Harris vs Trump.
I think someone shooting at Trump was a total wild card and made Plan B more likely as Trump was going to campaign off that successfully. I think about that time, Democrat party leaders were sure Biden had to be convinced to leave. I think books will be written about the specifics, but my guess is they knew Biden was open to it for a few weeks and that they then just had to maximize the effect. You could not have gamed it out any more perfectly. They let Trump and his campaign get way over confident, pick a total zero extremist as a running mate, and complete his lackluster convention.
I get happy thoughts thinking about what GOP and Trump headquarters must have been like that Sunday Biden dropped out. Pure jubilation and celebrating I bet. They were probably high fiving and snorting rails off campaign posters. And then after a few hours, a couple of th smarter ones probably realized, "Hey wait guys, this could be bad." Then as the evening went on, and they realized the Democrats had a plan around Harris all along and they were quickly coalescing around her, they must have jumped into action, "we need data, get me analytics on this new race!" Then after a couple days, the smart guys probably knew they could be in trouble.
And today, it's a role reversal. Trumpsters have to spin the same way Biden supporters were spinning that he still had a good chance. You never want to be the side that is claiming the polls are all fake, even if there are problems with the polls, you don't want to be on the wrong side of them.