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WarGamer

(15,749 posts)
Fri Sep 13, 2024, 12:06 PM Sep 2024

2020 was clearly an "asterisk" election due to COVID... 2024 turnout higher or lower? [View all]

2000 - 101M votes cast for Bush v Gore

2004 - 111M votes cast for Bush v Kerry

2008 - 130M votes cast for Obama v McCain

2012 - 127M votes cast for Obama v Romney

2016 - 129M votes cast for Trump v Clinton

2020 - 156M votes cast for Biden v Trump





I just can't see turnout higher in 24 than it was in 20... 202 was unlimited national vote by mail... 24 is not. If anything... voting might be tougher in 24 than it was in 16.

Turnout numbers historically grow at a consistent rate, with exceptions for generational candidates like Obama or the pandemic.


22 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
2024 will see higher turnout than 2020
16 (73%)
2024 will see lower turnout than 2020
5 (23%)
About the same... 156M-ish votes
1 (5%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
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