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usaf-vet

(7,012 posts)
Fri Oct 4, 2024, 01:02 PM Oct 4

Donald Trump is gaining on Kamala Harris in the polls. I have some theories why Robert Reich [View all]

Here are some snippets from a long, detailed article.

By now, almost everyone in America knows Trump and has made up their minds about him. Recent polls have found that nearly 90% of voters say they do not need to learn more about Trump to decide their vote.
But they don’t yet know Harris, or remain undecided about her.

Trump’s strategy also requires that he and his allies simultaneously flood the airwaves and social media with negative ads about Harris, which are then amplified by the rightwing ecosystem of Fox News, Newsmax and Sinclair radio.

Finally, Trump’s strategy necessitates that he refuse to debate her again, lest she get additional positive exposure (hence he has turned down CNN’s invitation for a 23 October debate, which she has accepted).

Having said all this, I’m cautiously optimistic about the outcome of the election. Why? Because Trump is deteriorating rapidly; lately he’s barely been able to string sentences together coherently.

Harris, by contrast, is gaining strength and confidence by the day, and despite Trump’s attempts to shut her out, more Americans are learning about her. As she gets more exposure, Trump’s “devil-you-know” advantage disappears.

Perhaps it’s more accurate to say I’m nauseously optimistic, because, to be candid, I go into the next five weeks feeling a bit sick to my stomach. Even if Harris wins, the fact that so many Americans seem prepared to vote for Trump makes me worry for the future of my country.
Bold emphasis be me.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/oct/01/trump-gaining-on-harris-polls-theories?
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"Nauseously optimistic" - great description Pinback Oct 4 #1
Same DemonGoddess Oct 4 #3
Barfingly apprehensive here. magicarpet Oct 4 #2
LOL usaf-vet Oct 4 #4
Kind of a tangential comment birdographer Oct 4 #5
Thing is...many of them don't vote...they just complain PortTack Oct 4 #11
Like how Obama was going to take all their guns. When it doesn't happen, doesn't matter, it's GOING TO HAPPEN. betsuni Oct 4 #24
I'm talking about after the election birdographer Oct 4 #25
They thought Obama was taking their guns after TWO elections and eight years. betsuni Oct 5 #28
And with Vance waiting in the wings..... intrepidity Oct 4 #6
He'll flip whichever way... returnee Oct 4 #7
He is falling further behind in other polls displacedvermoter Oct 4 #8
Exactly! Why does anyone hang on poll outcomes when they've proven to be inaccurate cycle after cycle! PortTack Oct 4 #10
Meanwhile SomedayKindaLove Oct 4 #13
It's a common trauma response. nolabear Oct 4 #20
Very true, a sad commentary on where we are as a nation displacedvermoter Oct 4 #21
This message was self-deleted by its author displacedvermoter Oct 4 #9
Paragraph #2....flood the airwaves....tsf has no money to do that!! PortTack Oct 4 #12
He doesn't need ads when he can get his name in the news w a tweet and/or a lie. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Oct 4 #14
Dark money Sugarcoated Oct 5 #29
i am bigly optomistic! et tu Oct 4 #15
This was kind of misleading to me, the name of the article, I guess. SWBTATTReg Oct 4 #16
I have this weird feeling BaronChocula Oct 4 #17
I don't get the "Trump is gaining in the polls" part Jersey Devil Oct 4 #18
That's a reQublican pumpkin talking KS Toronado Oct 4 #19
Bullshit. bif Oct 4 #22
But they don't yet know Harris ... That's the win. usonian Oct 4 #23
No, he's not. Basso8vb Oct 4 #26
There is another thread on GD about this so-called narrowing gap Rstrstx Oct 4 #27
Reich must finally be beginning to realize he was wrong about Trump voters, there was NEVER any chance that betsuni Oct 5 #30
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