Harris Regains 4 Point Lead in ABC News Poll

[FBaggins]

13. Sorry - that isn't true either

Exit polls used to be far more accurate since there was far less work to model the electorate ("likely voter" etc.)... but that was when almost the entire electorate voted on election day. But every early vote in person is someone who will not be voting next Tuessday - and there is no reason to believe that republicans and democrats are equally as likely to vote early. In fact - four years ago showed a dramatic variance.