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senseandsensibility

(20,360 posts) Mon Oct 28, 2024, 02:22 PM Oct 28

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Simon Rosenberg on the polls two minutes ago [View all]

Just went to 538 and 4 most recent polls are red wave pollsters. Their working of the polling averages continues, sending a signal to all of us, everyday, they don't think Trump is winning the election.

I also read that Nate Silver is "hedging" now and saying that there is a probability of Kamala winning.

IMO, the non red wave polling average shows Kamala ahead nationally and in the swing states. Of course it is close, but I think the cult handed us a huge gift yesterday for the closing days of the campaign!

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Simon Rosenberg on the polls two minutes ago [View all] senseandsensibility Oct 28 OP

Trump knows it was a mistake. Watch out he'll promise statehood to Puerto Rico To buy his way out of this Walleye Oct 28 #1

It won't work... 2naSalit Oct 28 #4

would be 'on brand'. nt wiggs Oct 28 #6

Paper towels Cirsium Oct 28 #9

😄 Walleye Oct 28 #12

Thanks Cirsium Oct 28 #13

Sounds good Walleye Oct 28 #19

Wouldn't work. There are a significant number of Puerto Ricans who don't want statehood. Wiz Imp Oct 28 #26

As KO and others put it, "ALL the masks came off yesterday" Best_man23 Oct 28 #28

Not sure that would help. They've held at least one referendum there, and statehood failed at the ballot box. LauraInLA Oct 29 #62

Nate is hedging? durablend Oct 28 #2

People on twitter are saying that he still needs to maintain some credibility senseandsensibility Oct 28 #3

Silver & RCP always run towards reality in the closing days PAMod Oct 28 #33

Nate needs another check. vanlassie Oct 28 #8

Pendejo's... 2naSalit Oct 28 #5

More like Pinche Pendejos n/t Scruffy1 Oct 28 #7

Nate Silver is a shill. Fired from 538 he now works for peter theil ...any questions? PortTack Oct 28 #10

Oh, I had no idea they didn't renew his contract. Farmer-Rick Oct 28 #38

He was fired because of his bias work on the polls PortTack Oct 29 #60

No doubt Farmer-Rick Oct 29 #71

I am behind with much news. I did not know this. riversedge Oct 28 #53

Those polls don't even reflect yesterday's sh*tshow tinrobot Oct 28 #11

Yup senseandsensibility Oct 28 #14

that's our october surprise!!! nt et tu Oct 28 #17

Absolutely!! wordstroken Oct 28 #40

Especially on Tuesday ArkansasDemocrat1 Oct 29 #61

We could bemoan the entire affair, as it was certainly disgusting. . . BigDemVoter Oct 28 #15

Wall Street thinks he can win. JohnnyRingo Oct 28 #16

If this is a form of a poll, then this pollster is worse and more biased than Rasmussen. Wiz Imp Oct 28 #25

I agree and I remain hopeful. JohnnyRingo Oct 28 #55

Under normal circumstances, you might be able to look at ths as a sign for the election result Wiz Imp Oct 28 #57

Wall street KNOWS how to steal! Thievery is their gameplan. Clouds Passing Oct 29 #58

Well let's just hope they don't cash in on this investment. JohnnyRingo Oct 29 #65

It just may be foreign investment Farmer-Rick Oct 28 #43

watch it tank when he loses. spanone Oct 28 #46

...as the story points out. JohnnyRingo Oct 29 #66

I wonder how much Musk and Thiel bought just to inflate it n/t megapuzzler Oct 28 #54

Repub commissioned polls hedging? rubbersole Oct 28 #18

She should appoint Jack Smith as AG BonnieJW Oct 28 #49

The butt puckering over at the Heritage Foundation would be heard around the globe...🥺 rubbersole Oct 28 #52

Add that to the fact even reputable pollsters. . . pat_k Oct 28 #20

Red wave polling??? HagathaCrispy Oct 28 #21

I don't think the phrase is a standard term, but what I think it means... reACTIONary Oct 28 #39

Two fold strategy underpants Oct 28 #51

A few cycles ago, media began Deminpenn Oct 28 #56

Do you mean state level polls? They've been doing that all month. I find it easy to ignore Wiz Imp Oct 28 #22

Emerson is now affiliated with RCP WSHazel Oct 28 #29

This message was self-deleted by its author Wiz Imp Oct 28 #35

How are they affiliated? Emerson is a college...and RCP doesn't commission their own polls. tritsofme Oct 28 #37

I too wondered why they hadn't posted the ABC poll iemanja Oct 28 #30

This message was self-deleted by its author Wiz Imp Oct 28 #34

They have posted the ABC/IPSOS poll Hyper_Eye Oct 28 #32

This message was self-deleted by its author Wiz Imp Oct 28 #36

Reenact 1939 Nazi Rally at MSG was simply unimaginable bucolic_frolic Oct 28 #23

538 is garbage. They have been using Activote on most of their polling. kellytore Oct 28 #24

Agree. We had an OP about trump paid polling by 5 Fabrizio headed poll groups that Silver counts as separate polls. BS. ancianita Oct 28 #48

Trump has called a presser at his slum palace tomorrow. liberalmuse Oct 28 #27

apparently the right wing polls are affecting trump's stock prices ecstatic Oct 28 #31

trmp told Rogan the other night he pays $500,000 for polls that say he's winning spanone Oct 28 #41

One of many things that most people won't hear about senseandsensibility Oct 28 #42

I'm listening to James Carville just now say 'we're going to win this thing' on msnbc spanone Oct 28 #44

What did he say? senseandsensibility Oct 28 #45

He literally just said, 'We're gonna win this thing' referring to the election. spanone Oct 28 #47

Okay, senseandsensibility Oct 28 #50

Come on folks...PLEASE ignore the polls. We just need to Vote and Kamala has this. n/t iluvtennis Oct 29 #59

Shouldn't even be close mdbl Oct 29 #63

Trump complained about the polling in 2016 and 2020 Renew Deal Oct 29 #64

Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 29 #67

Is CACA related to MACACA? mercuryblues Oct 29 #68

"In PA they're shutting down voting" SouthernCal_Dem Oct 29 #69

IKR mercuryblues Oct 29 #70