General Discussion

WSHazel

(283 posts)

8. Promising so far. Long way to go

Reply to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 02:26 PM

Oct 30

I think a lot of Democratic voters are getting kicked out of the "likely voter" screens, and I also think Pollsters are forcing their samples to match up with turnout models based on 2020 that will not be repeated this year.

Harris is up 9 points with early voters, with probably over half the vote in already, and early voters having a Republican lean. Trump may come back, but he is getting close to drawing 2 for an inside straight.

I want to see a Georgia update on already voted. 2/3's of the vote is in already. Harris was up 9 with around 40% in. If she is even up 5 in exits with 2/3's in, it is a major uphill climb for Trump to come back.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

CNN: Harris leads 53%-44% among Arizonans who have already voted [View all] Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 30 OP

This happened in 2022 in nevada also getagrip_already Oct 30 #1

Thanks. Teacher of the Year Oct 30 #9

Nice tie they have going there wryter2000 Oct 30 #2

I am one of the unaffiliated because I don't trust officials in this state AZJonnie Oct 30 #3

This is incredible Johnny2X2X Oct 30 #4

I'm not great at math, but I picked up the calculator and figured lees1975 Oct 30 #5

I think the polling models will way underestimate women Tribetime Oct 30 #6

Verrrry Interesting -- Dovetails perfectly into something I came across yesterday Rocknation Oct 30 #7

Promising so far. Long way to go WSHazel Oct 30 #8

That's not enough Prairie Gates Oct 30 #10