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Strelnikov_

(7,842 posts)

27. Curious about down ballot races

Reply to BannonsLiver (Original post)

Sat Nov 2, 2024, 06:59 PM

Nov 2

Last poll I saw had 2 of the 4 Congress seats competitive, with the R leading in these two similar to the Orange One (4%). With the 7% swing to Harris in the current poll for POTUS . .

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:🚨 Harris takes 3 pt lead over Trump in IOWA in Des Moines Register poll [View all] BannonsLiver Nov 2 OP

Edit: If she wins IA, she only needs 2 rust belt states and NC or GA to get to 270. Nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2 #1

Exactly. BannonsLiver Nov 2 #2

If she wins Iowa, she likely wins all of MI, WI, and PA anyway n/t Blaukraut Nov 2 #3

Indeed, but IA also permits her to lose one of the three, even PA Fiendish Thingy Nov 2 #6

Seriously? If she wins Iowa, then she has won PA by a ton. These things are not independent events NoRethugFriends Nov 2 #9

All the swing States and Florida and Texas Tribetime Nov 2 #12

I know, but stranger things have happened. Nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2 #21

I believe that as well. It would be adios tsf chicoescuela Nov 2 #20

If she actually is winning in Iowa, then it is a total national rout. NoRethugFriends Nov 2 #4

Agreed...if she actually wins Iowa, she wins a lot of unexpected states Prairie Gates Nov 2 #11

This would be epic n/t gay texan Nov 2 #5

Interesting Pdz Nov 2 #7

I just can't believe how long my happy dance would be if that happened Coexist Nov 2 #8

Thanks for the link. SharonClark Nov 2 #10

Possibly correct Dalimama Nov 2 #16

I think the fact she is even competitive there is an alarm bell for the Trump camp. BannonsLiver Nov 2 #17

When Obama won the Iowa primary crud Nov 2 #13

Thats 11 points better than Biden who won by 4.5% overall Tribetime Nov 2 #14

Trump's tariffs devastated American farmers crimycarny Nov 2 #15

Have to say did NOT see that coming .... -(nt)- stopdiggin Nov 2 #18

This is encouraging! MiKenMi33 Nov 2 #19

Obama won in Iowa as well NickB79 Nov 2 #22

He did indeed but it's been less than competitive the last 2 cycles. BannonsLiver Nov 2 #23

She is surging. Johnny2X2X Nov 2 #24

It's happening BannonsLiver Nov 2 #25

Yes it is. Strelnikov_ Nov 2 #28

The poll shows that women -- particularly those who are older or are politically independent -- are driving the late shift riversedge Nov 2 #26

Curious about down ballot races Strelnikov_ Nov 2 #27